Top 5 NBA Betting Picks for Thursday, April 9th - Finding Value with VJ Edgecombe, Reed Sheppard Props Tonight
The Wolf is focusing on five top NBA props for Thursday, April 9th, featuring Reed Sheppard props and more. Check out these best bets for Thursday night's action as just days remain in the regular season.
The Wolf - April 9, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadTop 5 NBA Betting Picks: Targeting Reed Sheppard, VJ Edgecombe on Thursday, April 9th
Thursday’s NBA board is full of late-season role clarity. Teams fighting for position are tightening rotations, while high-minute contributors continue to offer cleaner prop value than the market suggests. That is where The Wolf keeps attacking.
This slate leans heavily toward supporting-cast production. A few shooters are getting consistent volume, a few rebound numbers still sit too low, and one interior scoring spot stands out in a strong matchup. Here are the five best angles on the board.
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The Wolf Top 5 Betting Picks - Thursday, April 9th
1. Reed Sheppard – Over 2.5 Threes (-122) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 73.34%
- Implied Probability: 54.95%
- EV: 33.48%
- Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Sheppard has been getting enough perimeter volume to keep this line in play every night. When Houston’s offense is flowing, he benefits from drive-and-kick action and quick-trigger looks. Three made threes is not a huge ask for a player with this kind of role and confidence right now.
2. Marcus Smart – Over 2.5 Rebounds (-120) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 72.85%
- Implied Probability: 54.65%
- EV: 33.32%
- Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Smart continues to do the little things that do not always get fully priced into the market. His physical style and instincts give him a steady path to rebounds, especially in competitive games. This is a low number for a player who stays active around the ball.
3. Luke Kennard – Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 75.22%
- Implied Probability: 56.5%
- EV: 33.14%
- Trend: Over in 3 of last 10
The recent trend is lighter than some of the others, but the projection gap is still strong. Kennard’s minutes and floor spacing role keep him on the court long enough to collect value rebounds, especially on long misses. This is a spot where the underlying opportunity matters more than the short-term hit rate.
4. VJ Edgecombe – Over 1.5 Threes (-111) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 69.36%
- Implied Probability: 52.63%
- EV: 31.78%
- Trend: Over in 7 of last 10
This is one of the cleaner trend plays on the slate. Edgecombe has been knocking down threes consistently, and two makes is a very manageable target with his current shot profile. When the volume is there and the price is still this reasonable, The Wolf keeps riding it.
5. Jakob Poeltl – Over 11.5 Points (-104) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 66.45%
- Implied Probability: 51.02%
- EV: 30.24%
- Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Poeltl has been quietly steady as an interior scorer, clearing this number in 6 of his last 10. His offense does not need high volume because so much of it comes from efficient looks around the rim. At near-even pricing, this is a strong spot to back his consistency.
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