4 Best Prop Picks for Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 - Tuesday, May 12th NBA Playoffs
The San Antonio Spurs will try to get back on track after an ejection in Game 4 when they host the Timberwolves with the series tied at two apiece. Can De'Aaron Fox lead the Spurs back to a game advantage tonight? The Wolf is targeting four key prop picks from our oddschecker+ EV Tool on Tuesday, May 12th in Game 5.
The Wolf - May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadT-Wolves vs. Spurs Best Bets: Can De'Aaron Fox Carry Spurs Again in Game 5?
The series returns to San Antonio after a frustrating Game 4 loss for the Spurs, made even worse by Victor Wembanyama’s ejection. Now the response has to come at home. The Spurs need more offensive control, cleaner execution and better scoring balance if they want to swing momentum back their way.
Minnesota has made this series physical, and Anthony Edwards is still being forced into tougher scoring spots. That creates a board built around San Antonio bounce-back angles, with several Spurs players positioned to step up offensively in Game 5.
T-Wolves vs. Spurs Date, Time, and Where to Watch Game 5
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: NBC, Peacock
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T-Wolves vs. Spurs Game 5 Odds
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Best Bets - Game 5
1. Keldon Johnson – Over 8.5 Points (-106) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 67.02%
- Implied Probability: 51.55%
- EV: 30.02%
- Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Johnson’s physical scoring profile fits a response spot at home. San Antonio needs downhill pressure and secondary offense after the Game 4 frustration, and Johnson can provide both without needing high usage. This number is manageable if he stays aggressive early and gets to the rim or the line.
2. Devin Vassell – Over 2.5 Assists (-124) Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 69.87%
- Implied Probability: 55.25%
- EV: 26.46%
- Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Vassell’s creation role becomes more important when Minnesota loads up defensively. He has cleared this number in 6 of his last 10, and San Antonio should look for cleaner ball movement after a rough offensive finish in Game 4. If the Spurs respond with better spacing, Vassell has a clear path to three assists.
3. De’Aaron Fox – Over 17.5 Points (-109) Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 64.99%
- Implied Probability: 52.08%
- EV: 24.78%
- Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Fox gives San Antonio the pace and shot creation it needs in a bounce-back game. Minnesota’s defense has made scoring difficult, but Fox’s ability to attack in transition and create off the dribble keeps this line live. At home, the Spurs need him to be aggressive if they are going to answer.
4. Anthony Edwards – Under 26.5 Points (-105) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 63.68%
- Implied Probability: 51.28%
- EV: 24.18%
- Trend: Under in 7 of last 10
Edwards remains the star of the series, but San Antonio has done enough defensively to make him work for his points. He has stayed under this number in 7 of his last 10, and the Spurs should continue sending extra attention his way. If Minnesota gets balanced scoring again, Edwards does not need to force a massive scoring night.
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