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Earlier this season, Notre Dame shocked the world and upset Virginia by 20+ points where J.R. Konieczny went off. Can the Cavaliers get revenge against him and the Fighting Irish tonight? Krabs breaks down this ACC matchup.
ANALYSIS

Notre Dame vs. Virginia Prediction: Can the Cavaliers Get Revenge Against J.R. Konieczny, Fighting Irish?

Earlier this season, Notre Dame shocked the world and upset Virginia by 20+ points. It was one of the most surprising upsets in the ACC this season. You don’t think Tony Bennett and the Cavaliers remember that loss? I’m sure Virginia will be looking to get their revenge in a big way on Wednesday night.

Notre Dame vs. Virginia DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: January 31, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN2

Notre Dame vs. Virginia Prediction

Virginia gave up 76 points to Notre Dame the last time they played. J.R. Konieczny went 4-5 from three, and we probably won’t see another offensive performance from the Irish like that again for the rest of the season. Notre Dame is in for a rough night on the road against the best defense in the ACC.

This total is one of the lowest of the college basketball season. Totals have been higher this year; there’s been more points this season than ever before. That’s why this opening line caught my eye. Totals don’t open up at 115 very often in 2024…

The total initially spiked up to 115.5, but has since dropped down to 113.5 on most books. I have a hard time believing the Irish replicate the success they found from three earlier this season against the Cavaliers. I’m sure Tony Bennett has made the necessary adjustments, and to be fair, Virginia plays much better at home anyway. There’s a reason Virginia is laying 12.5 points on the spread with a total continuing to drop…

Since that big upset on 12/30, the Irish have come back down to earth. They’ve lost four straight games, but their defense wasn’t the issue. They were only able to eclipse 60 points in one of those four games, all against inferior defenses to Virginia. Considering they’ve already lost to the Irish once this season, I’d be shocked if they allow Notre Dame to break this trend tonight.

As the total continues to drop, lock in this under before it gets any lower. Virginia’s defense will look elite tonight, and luckily for Notre Dame, I’d be shocked if they score more than 60 points themselves. This could go down as the slowest, most boring game of the year… and that’s exactly what we want.

Notre Dame vs. Virginia Pick

ND/UVA u113.5 (-108) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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