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Wagner vs. Merrimack Prediction: Can Melvin Council Jr., Seahawks Shut Down Warriors in NEC Championship?

The Wagner Seahawks will take on the Merrimack Warriors on Tuesday night with a trip to March Madness on the line. Can Melvin Council Jr. and the Seahawks' defense keep them in a low-scoring game in the NEC Final? Krabs provides his best bet in Wagner vs. Merrimack

Wagner vs. Merrimack Prediction: Can Melvin Council Jr., Seahawks Shut Down Warriors in NEC Championship?

Unders in conference championship games have been printing money this postseason. I’ve got my eyes on another one for tonight, as Wagner travels to Merrimack for one spot in the NCAA tournament. With the added pressure in potentially either team’s final game of the season, how will the NEC Finals play out?

Wagner vs. Merrimack DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: March 12, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN2

Wagner vs. Merrimack Prediction

The last time these two teams faced off, they barely put up a combined 100 points. Wagner is not afraid of a low-scoring affair; they rank 360th in the country in pace of play. A tight contest where points come at a premium plays right into Wager’s hand. We don’t have to worry about an offensive explosion from the Seahawks, either; they’ve averaged less than 62 PPG in their last five games.

Melvin Council Jr. will look to slow this game down immensely, and Merrimack will not have any second chance buckets either. Wagner is a significantly better rebounding team. If Merrimack can’t score on the first shot of their possessions tonight, they are in for a potential upset.

We’ve seen plenty of teams look nervous in their conference championship games, and tired legs could definitely be playing into these unders cashing and totals dropping. This total opened up at 121 on most books, and is currently sitting around 119. With more money and bets coming in on the over (on VSIN), this reverse line movement is a great sign for under bettors.

There’s a reason this is the lowest total of the day, and all the totals in these championship games have been plummeting from the opening lines. Whether it’s tired legs or added pressure, most of these games have ended up soaring under. It’s just that time of year, and we’ve got to remember that these are just kids. Missed free throws have become the norm and unders are back in style. Bet the under in the NEC championship tonight; I’ll meet you at the cash counter.

Wagner vs. Merrimack Pick

Pick: WAG/MRMK u119.5 (-110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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