
Elite Eight Best Bets: March Madness Betting Picks, Predictions for NCAA Tournament Final 8 Teams
The Elite Eight is promising some of the best games in the history of the NCAA Tournament, with the true best teams in the nation remaining. Jason Radowitz breaks down the two-day slate of four games, and he's come up with his favorite March Madness betting picks for the Elite Eight, starting on Saturday evening with the Florida Gators.
Jason Radowitz - March 29, 2025, 11:11 AM EDT
5 minElite Eight Best Bets: March Madness Betting Picks, Predictions for NCAA Tournament Final 8 Teams
And then there were eight!
Although this year's NCAA Tournament didn't have many Cinderellas, it did produce some exciting games in the Sweet 16.
The Elite Eight will likely be just as exciting, especially since every team in the Elite Eight is at least a three seed. In addition, all No. 1 seeds have advanced to the Elite Eight. We're going to get some really exciting basketball down the stretch.
That said, I've added three best bets you'll want to consider for this weekend's Elite Eight.
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Elite Eight Best Bets
Florida Gators -7 (-110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Texas Tech Red Raiders used a lot of energy to come back from a 16-point deficit against Arkansas. Texas Tech shot just 25% from downtown and hit only 41% of shots overall.
That won't fly against Florida, which already ranks fifth in college basketball in defensive effective field goal percentage. Florida has limited teams to 29.3% from deep and 46.2% from inside the arc. Ultimately, Texas Tech could shoot poorly for another consecutive game.
Meanwhile, Florida shot 50% from the field against Maryland and pulled away late, earning a 16-point win. The Gators nailed 39.3% from downtown in that win and should get better looks overall from the field. Texas Tech ranks 39th in adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing a 48% effective field goal percentage.
Give me Florida at -7.
Tennessee vs. Houston Under 124.5 (-115) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Many analysts will suggest that this Tennessee-Houston game will be a snoozefest.
And you know what? They're probably right.
Houston ranks No. 1 in defensive efficiency, while Tennessee ranks third.
The Houston Cougars have held teams to a 45.1% effective field goal percentage. They've also earned 21.3% of turnovers and have limited teams to 30.5% from deep and 44.5% from inside the arc. Houston held on after a late scare from Purdue in the Sweet 16. Houston held a usually dominant Purdue offense to just 60 points.
Meanwhile, Tennessee earned a 13-point win against SEC foe Kentucky to advance. Tennessee has held teams to 28.5% from deep and 46.6% from inside the arc. Don't expect Houston to enjoy success offensively. The Cougars don't even get to the foul line enough.
This game could go either way. That's why I'd rather stick with the Under than pick a winner.
Michigan State vs. Auburn Under 148.5 (-110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Michigan State Spartans typically only have success around the rim. They've shot just 31.1% from deep this season, which is 318th in college basketball.
That said. Michigan State will battle an Auburn defense that ranks 34th in two-point field goal percentage. This year, the Tigers have limited teams to 46.9% from inside the arc. That's not ideal for Michigan State at all.
Auburn currently ranks 11th in defensive effective field goal percentage and has still contributed over 17% of turnovers. The defense has also contributed 16.1% of blocks this season, which is fourth in college basketball.
Conversely, Michigan State has been even better defensively. The Spartans have limited teams to 28% from deep and 49% from inside the arc. Michigan State won't force turnovers often, but the Spartans have held teams to 24.6% of offensive rebounds.
Auburn usually likes to use second chances off offensive rebounds as a big part of its game. That won't be there against the Spartans.
Grab the Under in this game.
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