Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Sunday, May 10
The Golden State Valkyries will look to start 2-0 by taking down a stacked Phoenix Mercury team tonight. Let's take a look at this Mercury vs. Valkyries prediction and best betting pick for Sunday night, May 10th.
OC Staff - May 10, 2026, 7:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadPhoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Sunday, May 10
The Phoenix Mercury opened the season with one of the loudest statements in the league, hammering the Las Vegas Aces 99-66 on the road in a revenge spot after last year’s championship loss. Alyssa Thomas led Phoenix with 20 points, Jovana Nogic added 19, and the Mercury spoiled Las Vegas’ ring ceremony with a 33-point rout that immediately put the rest of the league on notice.
Now Phoenix turns around for a Sunday night road matchup against the Golden State Valkyries at 8:30 p.m. ET, with Golden State favored by 2.5 at home. The Valkyries also opened with a strong result, beating Seattle 90-81 behind 20 points from Janelle Salaün, continuing the momentum from a strong close to their inaugural season and reinforcing why this is one of the more balanced teams in the league.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- How to Watch: Fubo
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Odds
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction
Phoenix deserves credit for the Las Vegas win, but that result also creates a natural regression spot. The Mercury were sharp, physical, and emotionally locked in against the team that beat them for the title, but it is difficult to carry that same edge into the next game on the road. Thomas gives Phoenix a powerful organizing force, and the Mercury have enough scoring to punish defensive mistakes, but a 33-point revenge win over the Aces is exactly the kind of opener that can inflate a team’s short-term perception.
Golden State is built to make this uncomfortable. The Valkyries went 23-21 last season, reached the playoffs in their expansion year, and enter this season with a deeper, more balanced roster after adding Gabby Williams. Williams brings scoring versatility, elite perimeter defense, and another connective piece to a group that already leaned on structure, ball movement, and home-court energy. The Valkyries have also turned Chase Center into one of the league’s strongest environments, which matters against a Phoenix team coming off such an emotional opening win.
The matchup should come down to whether Golden State can keep Phoenix out of easy early offense and force the Mercury into a more half-court game. Phoenix looked explosive against Las Vegas, but Golden State’s balance gives it a better chance to absorb runs without losing the shape of the game. If the Valkyries get steady production from Salaün, Williams, and their supporting cast, they should be able to turn this into a possession-by-possession spot where their depth and home floor matter late.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Best Bet
- Pick: Valkyries -2.5 (-110) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Phoenix’s opener was impressive, but it came in a revenge-driven spot that is hard to fully repeat 24 hours later. Golden State has the better setup, the more balanced profile, and enough defensive structure to force the Mercury back toward a more realistic offensive level. The Valkyries are the right side to cover at home and continue building off their strong start.
WNBA ODDS
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