New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Thursday, May 14th
The New York Liberty will rely on Breanna Stewart in tonight's rematch against the Portland Fire as they await the return of Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally from injury. Can Stewart and the Liberty get revenge after a buzzer beater loss earlier this week? Let's take a look at this Liberty vs. Fire WNBA prediction for Thursday, May 14th.
OC Staff - May 14, 2026, 3:20 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadNew York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Prediction: Can Breanna Stewart, Liberty Get Revenge Against Expansion Team on Thursday Night?
The New York Liberty get a quick rematch with the Portland Fire on Thursday night at 10 p.m. ET on Prime Video after one of the biggest early-season shocks in the WNBA. Portland, the league’s expansion team, stunned the title favorites 98-96 on Tuesday when Sarah Ashlee Barker scored on a putback just before the buzzer to give the Fire their first franchise win.
New York is still short-handed, with Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally among the key absences, but this is a clear revenge spot for Breanna Stewart and the defending champions. The Liberty are laying 11.5 on the road, and the number is large, but the setup points toward a much sharper defensive response after Portland exposed New York’s communication, rebounding, and late-game execution.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: Prime Video
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New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Odds
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New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Prediction
The Liberty’s biggest issue through the first few games has been defense. They allowed 98 points to Portland and have given up at least 90 in back-to-back games, which is not the profile expected from a title favorite. Stewart and Jonquel Jones give New York enough frontcourt strength to reset the tone, but the Liberty need cleaner rotations, better rebounding position, and fewer breakdowns against a Fire team that just proved it can punish loose possessions.
Portland deserves credit for Tuesday’s upset. Bridget Carleton scored a career-high 26 points with five threes, Barker delivered the franchise moment at the buzzer, and the Fire showed the kind of effort and belief that can make an expansion team dangerous at home. The challenge is doing it again two nights later against a Liberty team that now has fresh tape, motivation, and a much clearer sense of where the defensive mistakes came from.
The matchup should look different if New York starts with more urgency. Stewart should be more assertive as a scorer and organizer, Jones should have a stronger interior presence, and the Liberty should work harder to keep Portland out of second-chance opportunities. The Fire can still hang around if the threes fall again, but asking an expansion team to beat the title favorite twice in three nights is a much tougher ask.
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Best Bet
- Pick: Liberty -11.5 (-115) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The number is uncomfortable, especially on the road, but New York has the perfect bounce-back setup after being embarrassed at the buzzer. Expect the Liberty to defend with more force, control the glass better, and turn this rematch into a statement cover.
WNBA ODDS
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