Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Friday, May 15th
The Chicago Sky will take on the Phoenix Mercury on Friday night as they try to maintain their perfect start to the 2026 WNBA season. Can Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas hand them their first loss? Let's take a look at this Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction and best bet for Friday, May 15th.
OC Staff - May 15, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadChicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Can Alyssa Thomas, Mercury Hand Chicago First Loss on Friday Night?
The Chicago Sky visit the Phoenix Mercury on Friday night at 10 p.m. ET on ION, with Phoenix favored by 3.5 at home. Chicago has opened 2-0 and is chasing its first 3-0 start since 2014, but this looks like a difficult road spot against a Mercury team that should be sharper after back-to-back losses.
Phoenix enters 1-2 after a tight 88-84 loss to the Lynx earlier this week, a game where Kahleah Copper dropped 30 points but the Mercury could not finish late. That result came after a stunning 99-66 season-opening win over Las Vegas, so the ceiling is clearly there. Now the Mercury need to turn that talent into a cleaner four-quarter performance.
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: ION Network
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Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Odds
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Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
Phoenix’s case starts with Copper and Alyssa Thomas. Copper gives the Mercury a true go-to scorer, while Thomas has been stuffing the box score early with 16.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists per game. That combination should test Chicago’s improved defense because Phoenix can attack through both downhill scoring and high-post playmaking. If the Mercury avoid empty trips late, they have the better top-end creation in this matchup.
Chicago’s 2-0 start deserves respect, especially after a major offseason reset. The Sky added pieces like Skylar Diggins, Jacy Sheldon, DiJonai Carrington, Rickea Jackson, and Azurá Stevens, giving them a deeper and more balanced roster than last season. That said, this is still an early-season team learning how to win together, and a road matchup against a desperate Mercury group feels like the right spot for regression.
The Sky have also leaned on strong defensive numbers through the first week, allowing only 73.0 points per game. That is unlikely to hold forever, especially against a Phoenix team with multiple veteran scoring options and a home-court bounce-back setup. Chicago can keep this competitive if it controls tempo, but asking the Sky to stay unbeaten through another road test is a lot.
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Best Bet
- Pick: Mercury -3.5 (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Phoenix has the better star power, the stronger urgency, and a clear bounce-back angle after letting the Lynx game slip away. Copper and Thomas should be enough to outlast Chicago and hand the Sky their first loss of the season.
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