Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Monday, July 13th
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx odds have Minnesota listed as a massive 12.5-point favorite for Monday, July 13, with the total set at 169.5. The Lynx continue to sit near the top of the WNBA standings, while the Mercury enter this matchup in poor form and facing a difficult road spot.
Peter Alexis - July 13, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadPhoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction: Can Olivia Miles, Lynx Defense Shut Down Struggling Mercury on Monday Night?
The Phoenix Mercury visit the Minnesota Lynx on Monday, July 13, at 9 PM ET at Target Center. Minnesota is a 12.5-point favorite at -700 on the moneyline, while Phoenix is +12.5 with a +470 moneyline price and the total sits at 169.5.
This is a strength-on-weakness matchup. Minnesota enters at 17-6 and has already beaten Phoenix twice this season, while the Mercury are 8-16, 5-8 on the road and have dropped three straight games. Phoenix has also gone just 4-6 over its last 10, while Minnesota is 7-3 over that same stretch.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, July 13th, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: NBC Sports, Peacock
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Odds
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction
Minnesota’s dominance has been built on structure, depth and defensive consistency. The Lynx have continued winning even with Napheesa Collier sidelined, as Olivia Miles has emerged as a lead guard and Kayla McBride has delivered a major scoring surge. McBride recently scored 25 points against New York, while Miles’ return has helped stabilize Minnesota on both ends.
Phoenix’s offense is the concern. The Mercury are struggling through a difficult season after reaching the Finals last year, and this is not the right matchup to find rhythm. Kahleah Copper remains the primary scoring engine, but Minnesota has enough point-of-attack defense, size and discipline to force Phoenix into late-clock looks and low-efficiency possessions.
The injury report also supports a lower-scoring script. Minnesota remains without Collier and Emma Cechova, while Phoenix has Natasha Mack out and Sami Whitcomb listed as probable. That takes away some interior depth and offensive versatility, while still leaving Minnesota as the far more reliable defensive team.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Best Bet
- Pick: Under 169.5 Total Points (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The total is the better angle than laying 12.5 points. Minnesota can control this game comfortably without needing to push pace for four quarters, and a blowout setup often leads to slower possessions, bench-heavy late minutes and a flatter fourth quarter. Phoenix’s offensive issues against an elite Lynx defense make it difficult to project enough scoring to clear 169.5.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends
Check out the latest betting trends for this Mercury vs. Lynx matchup, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the WNBA.
WNBA ODDS
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