New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Best Bets, Latest WNBA Odds for Saturday, August 1st
The New York Liberty face the Phoenix Mercury at 3 PM ET on Saturday, August 1, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Can Phoenix earn revenge after dropping both previous meetings, or will New York complete the season sweep on the road? Check out this New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction and best bet for August 1.
Peter Alexis - August 1, 2026, 1:05 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadNew York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Can Liberty Wrap Up Road Trip with Another Win over Mercury on Saturday Afternoon?
The Liberty visit the Mercury on Saturday afternoon in a nationally televised matchup on ABC. New York enters as a 2.5-point road favorite at -108 and -148 on the moneyline, while Phoenix is +2.5 at -112 and +124 to win outright. The total is set at 176.5 points.
New York has already defeated Phoenix twice this season, but both meetings came during a two-game set at Barclays Center in May. The Liberty won 84-74 before following with a 75-68 victory two nights later, making this Phoenix’s first opportunity to challenge the matchup on its home floor.
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, August 1st, 2026
- Time: 3:10 PM ET
- How to Watch: ABC
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Odds
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New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
The Liberty have played at a much faster offensive level since the All-Star break. They erased a late deficit and beat Los Angeles 113-109 on Tuesday before falling 104-99 to Las Vegas on Thursday. Breanna Stewart recorded 26 points in the Aces loss after combining with Sabrina Ionescu to drive the high-scoring victory over the Sparks. New York has now scored at least 95 points in four consecutive games, but its defense has also allowed at least 94 in each contest.
Phoenix enters with considerably stronger momentum than it carried into the May meetings. The Mercury have won three consecutive games and most recently rallied from a 13-point deficit to defeat Golden State 91-89. Kahleah Copper scored 27 points, Lexi Held added 24 and DeWanna Bonner finished with 17 points and 10 rebounds, giving Phoenix three reliable scoring options during the comeback.
The first two head-to-head meetings remained comfortably below this number, but the current versions of these teams are producing a very different game environment. New York has shifted toward high-possession contests in which Stewart and Ionescu generate efficient offense but the defense struggles to protect leads. Phoenix has also improved its scoring balance around Copper and enters with enough confidence to attack rather than recreate the slower approach from May.
The smaller spread reflects Phoenix’s recent improvement and New York’s defensive instability. Taking either side requires choosing between the Liberty’s superior talent and a Mercury team carrying home-court advantage and a three-game winning streak. The total provides the cleaner route because both teams have recently shown the ability to score into the 90s while allowing opponents to remain productive.
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Best Bet
- Pick: Fever -7.5 (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
New York’s last two games produced 222 and 203 total points, while Phoenix’s victory over Golden State reached 180. A repeat of the earlier defensive series is possible, but both offenses are playing with more pace, confidence and perimeter production than they showed in May. The 176.5 number leaves enough room for another competitive game in which both teams approach 90 points.
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends
Check out the latest betting trends for this Liberty vs. Mercury matchup, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the WNBA.
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