Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Best Bets, Latest WNBA Odds for Sunday, August 16th
The Portland Fire will take on the Phoenix Mercury at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, August 16, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. Can the Mercury build on their latest victory, or will Portland continue a strong recent stretch against another Western Conference opponent? Check out this Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction and best bet for August 16.
Peter Alexis - August 16, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadPortland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Can Fire Play Close on Sunday Night With Inconsistent Mercury?
Phoenix hosts Portland as a 5.5-point favorite, with the Mercury -5.5 (-105), Fire +5.5 (-115) and the total at 176.5. Phoenix is -218 on the moneyline despite entering at 13-22, while Portland carries the better record at 14-20. The matchup airs on ESPN and Disney+.
Portland has quietly become much more competitive during the past week. The Fire beat Seattle 100-93, nearly completed a 29-point comeback before losing 85-81 to league-leading Minnesota and then went back to Seattle on Friday and pulled out an 84-82 victory.
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, August 16th, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: ESPN, Disney+
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Odds
Click here for complete Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Odds
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
The Friday win was especially encouraging because Portland played without leading scorer Carla Leite, who had been averaging 15.5 points before injuring her left knee. The Fire still found enough offense to win on the road, showing that Bridget Carleton and the supporting rotation can keep games competitive even without everything going right.
Phoenix finally stopped its own rough stretch with a 94-87 win over Los Angeles on Tuesday. Before that, the Mercury lost 96-82 to Atlanta, 75-72 to Connecticut and 95-75 to Washington, giving them three consecutive defeats and four losses in five games before the Sparks victory.
Kelsey Plum has added another high-level scorer to Phoenix since arriving at the trade deadline, but the roster has not immediately become consistent. The Mercury beat Chicago 106-101 in Plum’s debut before dropping those three straight, leaving the market asking them to create meaningful separation against a Portland team currently playing better basketball.
Phoenix won the first meeting 78-72 on June 5, but that six-point result was already close to Sunday’s number. Portland has improved since then and now comes in after staying within four points of Minnesota and beating Seattle twice in a six-day span.
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Best Bet
- Pick: Portland Fire +5.5 (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Mercury may have the stronger collection of individual scorers and the emotional home environment surrounding Diana Taurasi’s jersey retirement, but 5.5 points is substantial against a Fire team finding ways to stay competitive. Portland does not need the outright upset, and its recent results provide enough evidence to expect another game that stays within a few possessions.
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends
Check out the latest betting trends for this Fire vs. Mercury matchup, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the WNBA.
WNBA ODDS
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