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This week the UFC Apex will play host to a sneaky good card, headlined by a pair of women strawweight fighters in the main event, Viviane Araujo vs. Alexa Grasso. Let’s take a closer look at where the value remains as fight night approaches.
ANALYSIS

UFC Fight Night Grasso vs. Araujo Predictions, Picks: Main Card Best Bets

Only one more week remains between now and the legendary card that is UFC 280. This week, however, the UFC Apex will play host to a sneaky good card, headlined by a pair of women strawweight fighters in the main event.

While these aren’t all of my top UFC predictions, today we get into some of my favorite prop bets for UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo. Let’s take a closer look at where the value remains as fight night approaches in Las Vegas.

All Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Fight Night Best Bets

Misha Cirkunov vs. Alonzo Menifield Prediction

Date: Saturday, October 15

Time: 7:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click Here for Cirkunov vs. Menifield Odds

We almost certainly can expect theatrics in this one, since 89% of the combined 20 UFC fights between these two have ended within the distance. Due to both fighters' propensity to quickly enter and leave the octagon, their combined average bout time before this one is just 1.16 rounds.

When it comes to the 35-year-old Cirkunov, his UFC career got off to a 4-0 start in 2016, but since then, he's gone on to lose 2 of 6, losing his past three straight fights. On the other side, Menifield has triumphed in three of his last four fights, including a first-round knockout of Askar Mozharov in June.

As a clear favorite who still hopes to move up the light heavyweight rankings, expect Menifield to aim for a decisive victory in this fight. With 75% of wins having come by way of KO/TKO, that’s exactly how I expect this one to end.

Misha Cirkunov vs. Alonzo Menifield Pick

Pick: Alonzo Menifield Inside the Distance (-110) (Bet $110 to win $100)

Jonathan Martinez vs. Cub Swanson Prediction

Date: Saturday, October 15

Time: 7:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click Here for Martinez vs. Swanson Odds

Although I dislike making a Cub Swanson bet that involves a decision, I have to follow the percentages in this case. Martinez has compiled a 7-3 record since entering the UFC in 2018, with five of those victories coming by decision.

Martinez enters this bout with a three-fight winning streak against quality opposition, thus my metrics also support his being a -200 or slightly greater favorite. Swanson has had an impressive recent stretch of three victories in his previous four fights, but he is still less than two years removed from a four-fight losing skid in addition to a rebuilt knee.

With Swanson’s clear path to victory here being on the ground as he holds the takedown average and submission average per 15-minute advantages, look for him to attempt to take it there early and often. The problem will be Martinez’s 73% takedown defense, something I look for him to deploy here and maintain the desire to stand and strike.

I wouldn't be surprised if Swanson wins via KO/TKO, but I love the plus money in this spot for a number I have closer to -110.

Jonathan Martinez vs. Cub Swanson Pick

Pick: Jonathan Martinez Inside the Distance (+145) (Bet $100 to win $145)

How To Bet On Viviane Araujo vs Alexa Grasso 

Now we’ve given you all odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC Fight Night: Viviane Araujo vs. Alexa Grasso, let’s dive into the best betting promo available to you.

Article Author

NFLNBAMLBGolfBoxing/MMA

Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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