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Valentina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso face off at UFC 285. Lightning Locks shares his best bet for the fight.
ANALYSIS

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso Prediction, Pick: Trust This Expert's UFC 285 Best Bet

The women's flyweight bout is happening at UFC 285. The Kazakhstanian Conqueror Valentina Shevchenko puts her 125-pound crown up for grabs against the surging fan favorite out of Guadalajara, Mexico, Alexa Grasso. Valentina is riding the momentum of a nine-fight win streak coming into the fray.

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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso Prediction

Still, many have voiced their concern regarding her close fight with Talia Santos as being somewhat of a  sign that she perhaps does not have what she once did during her initial fighting prime. On the flip side of that coin, Alexa has seemingly improved with age, as following her embarrassing defeat to the likes of Felice Herrig, would go on a 5-2 UFC run, only losing to female Khabib Tatiana Suarez and Carla Esparza in a robbery.

If you've never seen Grasso fight, let me break it down for you. She likes to show off some pretty astute pocket boxing before inevitably clinching up and doing her best to initiate some takedown, rinse and repeat till the cows come home. While that kind of suffocating style might work on the lower echelon of 115/125, the fact of the matter is that if she tries that ill-advised-rudimentary style on Shevchenko, Alexa Grasso is going to get reversed and submitted fairly easily.

While putting on a brave face for Esparza and Suarez, Grasso looked lost on the floor when dealing with a grappler of even remotely acceptable pedigree. Shevchenko has proven herself that she is as well rounded as she is dangerous standing, as evident by her submission of Juliana Pena up a weight class way back when. 

How I see this fight playing out mainly consists of a lot of staring, a lot of feinting, and a whole bunch of nonsense. Because of those intangibles, it is rather perplexing to me why the over is dog money considering the high nature of the contest as well as it taking place in, you know, women's flyweight when it comes down to Brass Tacks. Since playing a -800 favorite straight is absolute insanity, look to bet on the fight to complete two rounds, as there's no possible way that doesn't auto-hit except for, of course, barring a freak injury between rounds. 

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso Pick

BET - fight completes two rounds (-190) Bet $100 to collect $152. FanDuel has the best odds; click here to bet

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • When: March 4, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM EDT
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Where to Watch: PPV

Click here for Shevchenko vs Grasso odds

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