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Manny Pacquiao Boxing

Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for Las Vegas Welterweight Bout

Daniel Dubois is hungry for revenge against heavyweight champion of the world, Oleksandr Usyk. He came up short in 2023, but has a shot at redemption as a sizable underdog on Saturday night at Wembley Stadium. Can Usyk hold off the challenger and retain his belt? Peter Alexis explores the complete Usyk vs. Dubois heavyweight boxing odds for Saturday, July 19th.

Peter Alexis - July 19, 2025, 1:30 PM EDT

5 Minute Read

Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for Las Vegas Welterweight Bout

Believe it or not, it's been over 10 years since Manny Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather danced around the ring in Las Vegas. The fight shattered nearly every boxing record, with over 4.6 million PPV buys in the United States. It's estimated that nearly 330 million people watched the fight globally, certainly boosted by Pacquiao's fans in the Philippines.

But that was then and this is now, 10 years and two months later. Somehow, someway, Manny Pacquiao is getting back in the ring. He is a whopping 46 years old, and is set to fight Mario Barrios in Las Vegas, a man 16 years younger than him.

Does Pacquiao really have what it takes to square off with a young champion, or is this all a poorly-planned stunt. Let's take a look at what the sportsbooks think with the Manny Pacquaio vs. Mario Barrios odds for Saturday night in Las Vegas.

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Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Odds

  • Moneyline: Oleksandr Usyk (-300), Daniel Dubois (+235)
  • Total Rounds: Over 9.5 Rounds (-120), Under 9.5 Rounds (-105)

Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET (Undercard), 11:00 PM ET (Estimated Ring walks)
  • Where to Watch: Amazon Prime PPV

Click here for complete Pacquiao vs. Barrios odds

Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Prediction

The sportsbooks are pricing Pacquiao at just +210, claiming he has an implied chance of around 33% to win this fight. That seems way too generous in this situation, and may be a bit embellished to entice more bettors to take the legendary fighter when he's clearly overmatched.

This whole saga is a litte ridiculous. To parade Pacquiao out into the ring after fighting just one time in the last six years is a bit much. Whether he's looking for another moment in the limelight, or in desperate need of a payday, Pacquiao is much too old to be getting punched in the head by a 30-year-old world champion.

Barrios has six inches of height on Pacquiao, and another four inches of reach. He's younger, in better shape, more physically gifted, and as long as he doesn't let Pacquiao inside, he should make quick work of him. It's going to be a long night in Las Vegas for the veteran, unless it turns into a hugging fest like the Mayweather fight. We saw similar things in the Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul spectacle last year, with a limited amount of true boxing to avoid a case of elder abuse.

Manny Pacquiao was one of the best pound for pound fighters in the world at a time. But that time has since come and gone, and he should be more worried about avoiding injury in this fight than trying to win it. Barrios is not a random fighter either, he's 29-2 with one of the only losses in an 11-round brawl with Gervonta "Tank" Davis in 2021. Pacquiao may claim to have some tricks up his sleeve, but surviving the full 12 rounds may be the best thing he can accomplish here. We don't expect to see this go the distance, as Barrios should find a way to use his size and age advantage to score a TKO against Pacquiao at some point in the later rounds.

Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios Pick

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