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Brendan Allen is set to take on Chris Curtis for the second time in the UFC Vegas 90 main event on Saturday evening. Can Allen stay hot and avenge his prior loss to Curtis in Las Vegas? Ben Rajavuori provides his best betting pick in Allen vs. Curtis.
ANALYSIS

Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis Prediction: Can Allen Get Revenge in the Apex Tonight at UFC Vegas 90?

Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis meet in the main event of tonight‘s UFC fight night card from the Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. Brendan Allen is on quite the run of victories right now, winning six fights in a row leading up to this main event rematch against Chris Curtis. Curtis is riding a one-fight streak coming into this fight but did beat Brendan Allen in their first meeting. Can Brendan Allen get revenge tonight?

Allen vs. Curtis DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis Prediction

In the first fight, Chris Curtis was losing the first round and the second round was close before Chris Curtis dropped Brendan Allen with a mean shot. Allen got caught off guard and was finished in the second round of their fight before he was able to get going on the ground. However, that fight was back in 2021 and Brendan Allen has significantly improved since then. Brendan Allen has gotten a lot better at using his striking to get fights to the ground, which will be vastly important against Chris Curtis. Curtis has very good takedown defense. He has a 92% takedown defense rate in the UFC, which will make it hard for Brendan Allen to get the fight to the ground, but not impossible. Allen has mastered the art of using his striking to set up clinch scenarios, and from there getting fights to the ground. Once the fight is on the ground, Brendan Allen can use his black belt Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu to end fights, as he has won five of his last six fights by submission. Allen has now won by submission seven times in the UFC. Chris Curtis has shown struggles against very good grapplers in the past. While he has not been submitted yet in the UFC, he has struggled against wrestlers who can also grapple like Kevin Gastelum and Jack Hermansson. While he was able to catch Brendan Allen clean in the second round of their first fight, I’m not sure he will be able to do it again. Chris Curtis is a pretty popular underdog today, because if he can keep the fight on the feet, he has a pretty good chance to win the fight, but I don’t see him being able to keep Allen from getting this fight to the ground for five total rounds. Once it does get to the ground, it should be over quickly. Therefore, I like taking Allen by sub at plus money rather than taking him on the money line with a lot of juice.

Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis Pick

Pick: Brendan Allen by Submission (+175) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

UFC ODDS

Article Author

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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