Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 315
Valentina Shevchenko and Manon Fiorot will meet in the co-main event of this UFC 315 clash in Montreal. Can Fiorot take down the women's flyweight champ in this title bout tonight? Jason Radowitz thinks so, giving the edge to the slight favorite in this Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot prediction for UFC 315.
Jason Radowitz - May 10, 2025, 7:15 PM EDT
5 minValentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 315
The co-main event of UFC 315 will be a women's flyweight title matchup between Valentina Shevchenko and Manon Fiorot.
Shevchenko was the UFC Flyweight champion in 2018 but eventually lost her title to Alexa Grasso in 2023. Ultimately, Shevchenko reclaimed the title in 2024 with a unanimous decision at UFC 306.
She'll look to hold onto the championship belt against new contender Manon Fiorot.
Fiorot has never lost in the UFC. She began his UFC career in 2021 against Victoria Leonardo and hasn't looked back since. That said, her last five fights have been won by unanimous decision. So it's safe to say this fight likely won't be the Fight of the Night.
Fiorot is one of the best takedown defenders in the UFC. Meanwhile, Shevchanko has a 64% takedown accuracy. It'll be interesting to see how that plays out in this flyweight championship match.
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for the UFC Women's Flyweight Championship matchup between Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot.
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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Odds
- Moneyline: Shevchenko (+105), Fiorot (-125)
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET (Main Card)
- Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Click here for complete Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot odds
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction
While Shevchenko is the current champion, Fiorot is the favorite to win this fight.
Fiorot has earned back-to-back wins over Rose Namajunas and Erin Blanchfield. Ultimately, as stated earlier, Fiorot has a 93% defense rate, which should help her when Shevchenko looks to grapple.
Fiorot has also landed 6.26 significant strikes per minute. She's typically able to get a high volume of strikes landed.
On the other hand, Shevchenko certainly has more experience in these types of matchups. She's also got 47 career takedowns. If Shevchenko earns a few takedowns, she'll win this bout. However, it's unlikely Shevchenko will. To win this fight, Shevchenko must counterstrike against Fiorot while standing up. In addition, the goal for Shevchenko will still be to push Fiorot against the cage and grapple as much as possible, even if she can't force a takedown.
That said, Fiorot has the reach advantage and is more physical. If Shevchenko can't get Fiorot to the ground, this fight will likely last the full five rounds, and Fiorot would win by unanimous decision.
While the flyweight belt is at stake, it's also likely that the winner of this fight will take on Zhang Weili in a superfight for the best women's UFC fighter. Fiorot's stardom is just beginning.
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Pick
- Pick: Manon Fiorot ML (-130) Click here to see whic sportsbook has the best UFC 315 odds
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