Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 317
Reigning flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja puts his belt on the line against knockout artist Kai Kara-France in the UFC 317 co-main event. We break down the latest odds, betting analysis, and fight predictions, including a sneaky sub value pick.
Jason Radowitz - June 28, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadAlexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 317
The co-main event between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Kara-France will begin with back-to-back title fights at UFC 317. Pantoja is the reigning and defending flyweight champion. He's won four consecutive title fights, including a win over Kai Asakura at UFC 310. Meanwhile, he'll compete against Kai Kara-France, who won a title shot with his win over Steve Erceg by knockout. He fought for the interim title back in 2022 but is now fighting for the genuine belt on Saturday. Kara-France's knockout over Erceg was his 12th career knockout. He's got a whole lot of punching power and hopes to find more of that against Pantoja.
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for the UFC 317 co-main event between Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France.
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Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Odds
- Moneyline: Pantoja (-250), Kara-France (+200)
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET (Main Card)
- Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Click here for complete Pantoja vs Kara-France odds
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Prediction
Alexandre Pantoja has averaged 2.74 takedowns per 15 minutes. He's also landed a takedown on 47% of attempts in his UFC career. On the other hand, Kai Kara-France has defended 88% of takedowns. He'd rather stand up and punch. Again, he has earned 12 knockouts and landed 4.56 punches per minute with nearly 40% accuracy. Meanwhile, Pantoja has all the momentum, having won seven consecutive matches. He's currently a top-ten fighter in the UFC. If Pantoja can use his experience to get Kara-France on the ground, he'll likely end it. Kara-France is vulnerable on the ground. That's ultimately why he's so good at stopping takedowns. Kara-France doesn't find himself on the ground often. But if he ever is in this fight, it'll be hard to overcome it against Pantoja. Ultimately, I'd like to think Pantoja will land a takedown or two. If he's able to do that, he'll find a way to submit Kara-France. If nothing else, he'll surely escape the bruising power that Kara-France has. Therefore, let's roll with Pantoja to get the win at -250. If you're brave, consider Pantoja via submission for better odds.
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Pick
- Pick: Pantoja (-250) Click here for complete Pantoja vs Kara-France odds
MMA ODDS & PICKS
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