Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 318
Kevin Holland is one of the biggest favorites on the UFC 318 card. Can he make it three wins in a row against Daniel Rodriguez on Saturday night in New Orleans? Jason Radowitz is looking at the method of victory for this welterweight bout.
Jason Radowitz - July 19, 2025, 6:30 PM EDT
5 Minute ReadKevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 318
Kevin Holland will put his two-fight win streak on the line against Daniel Rodriguez in an exciting welterweight battle at UFC 318 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Rodriguez is also on a two-fight win streak. The winner of this main card matchup will catapult up the rankings in the welterweight division.
Holland has really improved his wrestling and submission game. Additionally, he has already fought three times in 2025. This will be his fourth fight in 2025, so he's certainly well-trained to outlast any opponent right now.
On the other hand, Rodriguez is currently 38 years old. He just added a third-round TKO of Santiago Ponzinibbio and will now have his biggest fight of his career against Holland.
That said, Holland has a significant reach advantage that should allow him to control range. Will that be enough to defeat Rodriguez?
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for the UFC 318 main card event between Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez.
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Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Odds
- Moneyline: Holland (-550), Rodriguez (+450)
Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET (Main Card)
- Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Click here for complete Holland vs. Rodriguez odds
Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction
Daniel Rodriguez knows just how big of a fight this is against Kevin Holland. He's 38 years old and implied that a win against Holland would be the biggest win of his career. He'd be back in the rankings and would give him one last chance at potentially getting the welterweight belt.
Rodriguez loves to throw in a lot of volume against his opponents. However, it'll be hard to do that against Holland. Holland, for one, has a massive reach advantage. That should help him land some body shots, while also grappling and tiring out Rodriguez.
Holland has really improved defensively. He's taking just 3.11 significant strikes per minute and has a 50% defensive rate. Holland has also shown off his fight IQ, and he's been creative in his last couple of fights.
That said, if Rodriguez can put pressure on Holland and earn lots of volume, he'll have a real shot at winning. It's just unlikely that this fight will get to that point.
Holland is a physical freak and will likely show off more durability in this fight. I wouldn't even be surprised if Holland was able to earn a finish via submission against Rodriguez.
He holds seven submissions in the UFC and is a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu under Travis Lutter. Let's consider Holland to add a submission win at +240.
Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Pick
- Pick: Kevin Holland to win by Submission (+240) Click here for complete Holland vs. Rodriguez odds
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