King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC 328 Odds for Lightweight Bout
King Green and Jeremy Stephens are two aging veterans going head to head on Saturday night at UFC 328. Can Green roll at the Prudential Center in this first bout of the main card? Let's take a look at this King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens prediction and best betting pick for Saturday, May 9th.
OC Staff - May 9, 2026, 7:15 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadKing Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction: Can King Green Roll by Decision in this Battle of Veterans at UFC 328?
King Green and Jeremy Stephens open the UFC 328 main card Saturday night in a lightweight bout between two 39-year-old veterans nearing the final stretch of their careers. The fight is expected to start around 9:15 p.m. ET on Paramount+, with Green sitting as a heavy -400 favorite and Stephens coming back at +315.
This is a matchup built on experience, durability, and late-career sharpness. Stephens has had a long and violent UFC run, but Green enters in better recent form, has drawn strong market support, and now gets a meaningful edge after Stephens missed weight by four pounds and was fined 30% of his purse.
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King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Odds
- Moneyline: Van (+136), Taira (-162)
King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, May 9th, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Van vs. Taira odds
King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction
Green enters at 34-17-1 overall and 15-12-1 in the UFC, looking to win three straight fights for the first time since 2020. That matters for a fighter who has always been tricky, durable, and difficult to dominate when he is dialed in. His boxing rhythm, shoulder-roll defense, jab, and ability to talk while staying composed make him hard to separate from on the scorecards. Against an older Stephens, that volume and comfort should give Green the cleaner round-winning profile. (sports.yahoo.com)
Stephens still carries the danger that made him one of the UFC’s most memorable action fighters. He is 29-22 overall and has built a career on power, pressure, and durability, but the recent form is difficult to ignore. Stephens has just one win and one no-contest across his last 10 fights, while losing eight of those bouts, including several by stoppage. At this stage, the issue is not whether he has had a strong career. It is whether he can still keep pace with a cleaner, sharper striker across three rounds. (talksport.com)
The stylistic matchup points toward Green controlling long stretches without necessarily finding a finish. Stephens is tough enough to survive exchanges, and Green is more likely to win with accuracy, pace, and defensive reads than one-shot power. The weight miss only adds to the concern around Stephens’ preparation, especially in a fight where he needs explosiveness early and durability late. If Green avoids reckless pocket exchanges, he should bank rounds behind volume and cleaner work.
King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Pick
- Pick: King Green by Decision (+115) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The best bet is King Green by decision at +115. Laying -400 on a 39-year-old veteran is not especially attractive, but the method market creates a better angle. Green has the fresher form, sharper boxing, and cleaner tactical path, while Stephens still has enough toughness to avoid being walked out quickly. Green should outlast him, win the exchanges that matter, and close the door on Stephens’ lengthy UFC run with a measured decision victory.
MMA ODDS & PICKS
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