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Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Odds for Lightweight Bout

Fares Ziam and Tom Nolan will meet just before the main event in a lightweight clash at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas. Can Nolan and Ziam go the distance in this June 6th meeting? Let's take a look at this Ziam vs. Nolan prediction and best bet.

Peter Alexis - June 5, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT

4 Minute Read

Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Prediction: Will Tom Nolan Take this Lightweight Bout the Distance in Vegas on Saturday Night?

Fares Ziam faces Tom Nolan on Saturday, June 6, at 9:15 p.m. ET in Las Vegas. Ziam is a heavy -320 favorite, while Nolan comes back at +245 in a lightweight fight between a surging veteran and a dangerous young striker.

Ziam has won six straight and has continued to evolve from a rangy striker into a more complete, composed fighter. Nolan has the upside and power to make this interesting, but the best angle is not picking the upset. It is backing both fighters to survive and force the judges into play.

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Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Odds

  • Moneyline: Ziam (-300), Nolan (+260)

Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: Saturday, June 6th, 2026
  • Time: 9:15 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
  • Where to Watch: Paramount+

Click here for complete Ziam vs. Nolan odds

Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Prediction

Ziam’s recent run has been built on sharper timing, better wrestling layers, and improved control in the clinch. He has become more comfortable turning fights into disciplined, technical exchanges instead of relying only on long-range striking. That maturity matters against Nolan, who can be dangerous if the fight becomes chaotic.

Nolan is 10-1 and brings real offensive pop. He is aggressive, long, and willing to exchange, which gives him a chance to hurt Ziam if he finds the right pocket. The problem is that Ziam is the more experienced UFC fighter and should be able to manage range, slow the tempo, and avoid giving Nolan a clean brawl.

The total and fight script point toward a more measured matchup than the odds may imply. Ziam is good enough defensively to avoid wild danger, while Nolan is tough enough to stay in the fight even if he loses minutes. Ziam should win most of the technical exchanges, but Nolan’s durability and reach can keep him from being blown out early.

Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Pick

Ziam should be the better fighter, but Nolan has enough toughness and physical tools to extend this. Expect Ziam to control long stretches while Nolan remains competitive enough to make this a scorecards fight.

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