Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Odds for Saturday, August 1st in Serbia
Aleksandar Rakic faces Marcin Tybura at approximately 2:45 PM ET on Saturday, August 1, at Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia. Can Rakic make a successful heavyweight debut in front of the Serbian crowd, or will Tybura’s size and divisional experience spoil the homecoming? Check out this Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura prediction and best bet for August 1.
Peter Alexis - August 1, 2026, 1:45 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadAleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Prediction: Can Tybura Hang in With Rakic for Full Fight?
Aleksandar Rakic meets Marcin Tybura in a three-round heavyweight bout on the UFC Belgrade main card, streaming on Paramount+. Rakic enters as the -380 favorite, with Tybura priced at +300. The over 1.5 rounds is -220, the under is +170 and the fight to reach the judges is available at +110.
Rakic makes his heavyweight debut with a 14-6 record after spending his first 20 professional fights at light heavyweight. He weighed 237.5 pounds for this matchup, while the longtime heavyweight Tybura came in at 254. Rakic brings the speed and athleticism advantage, but moving into a new division against an opponent accustomed to absorbing heavyweight power creates some uncertainty around the short moneyline.
Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Odds
- Moneyline: Rakic (-380), Tybura (+300)
Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, August 1st, 2026
- Time: 2:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura odds
Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Prediction
The Serbian enters on a four-fight losing streak, although he has consistently faced championship-level opposition. Rakic suffered a first-round stoppage against Azamat Murzakanov in October after previously losing a competitive decision to Magomed Ankalaev, a second-round stoppage against Jiri Prochazka and an injury-related defeat against Jan Blachowicz. The move to heavyweight is designed to eliminate the extreme weight cuts that required lengthy recovery periods and prevented him from competing more frequently.
Tybura owns a 27-11 record and has spent more than a decade competing against established UFC heavyweights. The 39-year-old most recently lost a unanimous decision to Tyrell Fortune after being stopped by Ante Delija, but he previously earned wins over Mick Parkin and Jhonata Diniz. Tybura has 10 career decision victories and remains comfortable winning through clinch control, takedowns and positional pressure rather than searching for one decisive strike.
Rakic should have the cleaner striking and faster entries, but his recent knockout losses could encourage a controlled approach in his divisional debut. He can use movement, low kicks and straight punches to score without remaining in Tybura’s preferred clinch range. Tybura’s best route is also methodical, using his weight to press Rakic against the fence, drain his explosiveness and turn the fight into a series of slower grappling exchanges.
Aleksandar Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura Pick
- Pick: Fight to Go the Distance (+110) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The -380 moneyline demands too much confidence from a fighter changing weight classes while attempting to end a long losing streak. The over 1.5 rounds is safer but carries an expensive -220 price. Taking the fight to go the distance at +110 provides significantly better value on a matchup in which both men have reasons to limit risk, with Rakic likely prioritizing a composed hometown victory and Tybura attempting to neutralize the favorite through veteran positioning.
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