Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Paris Odds for September 5th
Daniil Donchenko faces Punahele Soriano in a welterweight matchup at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5. Donchenko brings an impressive run into a test against a veteran who has found renewed consistency since moving down from middleweight.
Peter Alexis - September 5, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadDaniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Prediction: Can Donchenko Emerge Victorious in Paris Today?
Daniil Donchenko and Punahele Soriano meet at Accor Arena on Saturday, with their main-card fight listed for 4:15 PM ET on Paramount+. Donchenko enters as a -238 favorite, while Soriano is priced at +195. The total is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over favored at -180.
Donchenko arrives at 15-2 following a second-round stoppage of Theodor Berggren in June. Before that finish, he delivered a dominant unanimous decision against Alex Morono in February, winning by scores of 30-26, 30-26 and 30-27. Those performances show two useful sides of his offense: the ability to capitalize when a finish appears and the capacity to maintain a substantial advantage over three rounds.
Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Odds
- Moneyline: Donchenko (-240), Soriano (+200)
Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, September 5th, 2026
- Time: 4:15 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano odds
Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Prediction
Soriano is 13-4 and riding four consecutive victories after outpointing Ramiz Brahimaj in February. All three judges scored that fight 29-28, following another decision win against Nikolay Veretennikov. His recent success makes this a meaningful step up for Donchenko, particularly because Soriano can combine heavy punches with wrestling rather than relying on one route to victory.
The decision case starts with Donchenko maintaining offensive activity without giving Soriano the stationary exchanges he wants. Combinations followed by disciplined exits can help him score while limiting the veteran’s opportunities to answer with power. The Morono performance is a useful example of how Donchenko can win convincingly even when an experienced opponent survives his best attacks.
Soriano’s wrestling is the biggest threat to that approach, but it also creates a plausible reason for the fight to last. Clinches, takedown attempts and contested positions can absorb time and interrupt prolonged striking sequences. Donchenko needs to defend those phases well enough to preserve his scoring opportunities, while avoiding the temptation to force a finish against a physically strong opponent.
Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano Pick
- Pick: Daniil Donchenko by Decision +110 Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
At +110, Donchenko by decision is the preferred alternative to the -238 moneyline. Soriano has completed three rounds in consecutive victories and should offer more resistance than a straightforward knockout prediction allows. Donchenko’s pace and offensive variety can still separate him over 15 minutes, producing another scorecard win against an established veteran.
MMA ODDS & PICKS
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
