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New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction, Betting Pick, and Latest Odds for Conference USA Championship

Tonight is the Conference USA Championship between the New Mexico State Aggies and the Liberty Flames. Which team has the edge? Matt McCuen shares his New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction and betting pick.

Matt McCuen - December 1, 2023, 11:55 AM EST

5 min

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction, Betting Pick, and Latest Odds for Conference USA Championship

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Liberty Flames will meet up from Lynchburg, Virginia, on Friday night to duel things out for the Conference USA Championship.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Date, Start Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: December 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: CBSSN

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds

  • Spread: New Mexico State +11.5 (-115), Liberty -11.5 (+110)
  • Total Odds: Over 57 (-109), Under 57 (-108)
  • Moneyline Odds: New Mexico State (+350), Liberty (=375)

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction

New Mexico State has been one of the biggest surprises in football.

Former Minnesota head coach Jerry Kill has done an outstanding job with this program.

The Aggies have won eight consecutive games, including a win on the road over Auburn in a game in which they were 25.5-point underdogs.

Liberty won in the teams' only meeting this year, 33-17.

Junior signal-caller Diego Pavia leads this Aggies offense. Pavia has thrown for 2,727 yards, 23 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. Additionally, he leads the team in rushing with 805 yards and five touchdowns.

Running back Star Thomas has delivered a strong season. The Homer, Louisiana native, has racked up 604 yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Jonathan Brady has been the favorite target of Pavia. The Junior leads the team in receiving with 518 yards and three touchdowns.

The New Mexico State defense has played great as of late, holding three of their last four opponents under 18 points.

Liberty enters play with a perfect 12-0 record.

Former Coastal Carolina head coach Jamie Chatwell has done an outstanding job with this program.

Liberty will attempt to extend their undefeated season tonight while adding some hardware to the trophy case.

Quarterback Kaidon Salter leads this Flames offense. Salter has thrown for 2,431 yards, 29 touchdowns, and five interceptions.

Quinton Cooley leads the Flames' rushing attack. Cooley has rushed for 1,251 yards paired with 13 touchdowns.

CJ Daniels has been the favorite target of Salter. The Linburn, Georgia native leads the team with 831 yards and nine touchdowns.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Betting Pick

The Aggies have been playing excellent football over the last two months, and that will continue tonight.

This is a legit team that recently went into a demanding SEC environment and dominated a game.

Pavia has played with supreme confidence all season long, and the Aggies have an offense that is good enough to keep pace and stay within this large number tonight.

The Liberty defense has struggled lately and is not good enough to cover a double-digit spread tonight.

Pick: New Mexico State +11.5 -115 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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