Montana State vs. New Mexico Betting Pick: Don't Miss This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for CFB Week 0
Our oddschecker+ Positive EV spread of the day in college football comes to us from the Montana State vs. New Mexico and their battle out west. Both Matt McCuen and our predictive AI model agree that this is one of the most valuable sides on the board this afternoon to kick off the CFB season.
Matt McCuen - August 24, 2024, 10:15 AM EDT
6 minMontana State vs. New Mexico Betting Pick: Don't Miss This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for CFB Week 0
The Montana State Bobcats will meet the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday afternoon.
Albuquerque, New Mexico, will be the sight for this season-opening matchup.
Montana State vs. New Mexico Start Time, Where To Watch, Odds
- Date: Saturday, August 24, 2024
- Game Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: FS1
Montana State vs. New Mexico Odds
- Spread: Montana State -9 (-110), New Mexico +9 (-110)
- Total Odds: O 53.5 (-110), U 53.5 (-110)
- Moneyline Odds: Montana State (-360), New Mexico (+280)
oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
If the Lobos can’t cover two touchdowns at home vs. an FCS team, I will be stunned. This line has continued moving toward Montana State as the week has gone on. Despite that, New Mexico added some talent in the portal, and they have a new head coach who has winning experience.
Our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool is all over this play. The implied probability of a Lobos cover is 51.28 percent. Our AI probability is 56.98%, which makes the expected value of this wager 11.1 percent, and we are going to hop on that as we agree that New Mexico has a better shot to keep this close.
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Montana State vs. New Mexico Prediction
Montana State represents the FCS.
The Bobcats went 8-4 last season as members of the Big Sky.
Head coach Brent Vigen begins his third season at the helm for Montana State.
Senior Tommy Mellot leads the Bobcat offense. Mellot threw for 1,068 yards and two touchdowns last year.
Running back Scott Humphrey is expected to lead the Montana State backfield.
Lonyatta Alexander Jr. is expected to be the top option for the Bobcats in the passing game.
New Mexico comes into this game as a 13.5-game underdog.
It is rare to see an FBS team as an underdog against an FCS team.
It is even more rare to see them as a 13.5 point underdog.
The Lobos have been one of the worst teams in college football since 2017.
Their last winning season came in 2016 when they went 9-4.
Since 2019, the Lobos have been 11-42.
Former Virginia head coach Bronco Mendenhall takes over the New Mexico program.
Sophomore Devon Dampier will lead the New Mexico offense.
Running back Eli Sanders will lead the rushing attack. Sanders rushed for 477 yards a season ago.
Wide receiver Shawn Miller will be one of Dampier's top targets this season.
Let’s dive into my best bet.
Montana State vs. New Mexico Betting Pick
Pick: New Mexico +14 -120 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds.
College Football Odds
