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The Duke Blue Devils will host the Elon Phoenix on Friday night in their first game since coach Mike Elko's departure. Can Manny Diaz dominate in his first game as the new coach of the Blue Devils? Matt McCuen is backing him, as well as our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool with strong value bets on their side in Elon vs. Duke.
ANALYSIS

Elon vs. Duke Betting Pick: Tail Our Favorite oddschecker+ Positive EV Play in CFB

The Duke Blue Devils will host the Elon Phoenix on Friday night for the first game of each team's season.

Our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool has found us yet another tandem of value bets for this game, with a pick on the total and the spread.

We are going to capitalize on the Blue Devils at home tonight in Manny Diaz' first game as the new head coach, and our +EV Tool has helped discover this profitable edge for tonight's Elon vs. Duke game.

Elon vs. Duke Date, Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: August 30, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool

Our predictive AI model delivers countless winners daily via our Positive EV tool. Make sure you check out oddschecker+ now to see out industry-leading betting tools!

Our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool supports this play tonight.

The implied probability of a Duke cover is 58.48%, while our AI probability is 59.72%.

That means the expected value of this wager is 2.12%.

Duke quarterback Maalik Murphy will have this offense rolling tonight, taking on an overwhelmed defense FCS defense in Elon.

Capitalize on every edge with our new public betting splits to find where the money is coming in at oddschecker+

Elon vs. Duke Prediction

Duke comes into the year with many new faces on the roster and a new head coach leading the squad.

Former Miami head coach Manny Diaz takes over the Blue Devil program.

Diaz struggled in Miami but made Penn State one of the top defenses in college football in 2023.

Former Texas Signal Caller Malik Murphy will take over the Duke offense. Murphy started multiple games when Quinn Ewers was injured at Texas last season.

Murphy will have big shoes to fill as he takes over for now Notre Dame quarterback Riley Leonard.

Duke went 8-5 last year on their way to winning the Birmingham Bowl.

The Blue Devils have gone 17-9 over the last two seasons with two bowl wins.

Senior Jaquez Moore will lead the Duke backfield. Moore ripped off 674 yards and six touchdowns last season.

Jordan Moore returns to the Blue Devil offense. The Sykesville, Maryland native collected 835 yards and eight touchdowns last year.

Diaz will look to improve the Blue Devil defensive unit this season.

Elon will attempt to pull off the big upset tonight.

The Phoenix represent the FCS division.

Since 2017, Elon has reached the playoffs three times.

Unfortunately for the Phoenix, they are 0-3 in that span.

Elon has two National Championships to their credit, as they went back to back in 1980 and 1981.

Head Coach Tony Trisciani has been the definition of average, with a 20-20 record as the head coach of Elon.

Team Captain Matthew Downing returns to lead the Phoenix offense. Downing threw for 1,915 yards and 19 touchdowns in 2023.

Elon lost a lot of depth in their backfield as star running back Jalen Hampton transferred to Western Kentucky. Dan Fredrick is expected to take some carries tonight.

Pembroke, North Carolina native Chandler Brayboy will be the top option for Downing. Brayboy collected 589 yards and four touchdowns last season.

Elon vs. Duke Betting Pick

Pick: Duke -21 (-139) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds Pick: Duke Team Total Over 34.5 (-135) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.

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