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Oregon vs. Purdue Prediction, Betting Pick and Latest Odds

Oregon vs. Purdue prediction and pick ahead of Friday night's Big Ten battle. Can the Boilermakers cause problems for the red-hot Ducks tonight? Handicapper Peter Alexis analyzes this matchup and gives a pick against the spread.

Peter Alexis - October 18, 2024, 11:11 AM EDT

5 min

Oregon vs. Purdue Prediction, Betting Pick and Latest Odds

The Purdue Boilermakers will welcome the No. 2 Oregon Ducks to Ross-Ade Stadium on Friday night for an intriguing Big Ten clash. The Ducks are riding high, and the Boilermakers just had their heart ripped out in an overtime loss.

Oregon escaped with a victory over the previously second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday night in somewhat controversial fashion. Head coach Dan Lanning sent 12 players on to the field with 10 seconds left to try and fluster Ohio State, who was sitting just outside field goal range. They got the penalty for too many men, but also ticked critical seconds off the clock. There is now an NCAA rule change put into place as a result. Regardless, Ohio State QB Will Howard floundered in a crucial moment, going down in bounds as the clock expired, sealing an upset win for the Ducks.

Oregon now claims the second spot in the AP Top 25 poll sitting just behind Texas, who will have a top-5 showdown of their own this weekend against the Georgia Bulldogs. It is entirely feasible that Oregon could be the No. 1 team in the country by Monday morning ahead of two major battles with No. 22 Illinois and No. 24 Michigan. Will Dillon Gabriel and the Ducks overlook the Boilermakers tonight? They likely aren't putting too much stock in the lowly 1-5 Purdue team as a four-touchdown favorite, and that could bite them in a rare Friday night matchup.

Oregon vs. Purdue Date, Time, and Where To Watch

  • Date: October 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 pm ET
  • Where To Watch: FOX

Oregon vs. Purdue Odds

Oregon vs. Purdue odds have this one pegged as a blowout, and it's certainly possible. The No. 2 ranked Ducks just took down Ohio State in a thriller, while Purdue has lost four of their five games by double digits. If the Ducks get off to a strong start, they could run away with a four-touchdown victory against a weak Purdue defense.

The Boilermakers will have to dig in on both sides in order to cover this +28.5 spread against a top team in the country. Meanwhile, the total sits at 60.5, with the majority of the bets coming in on the over.

Oregon vs. Purdue Prediction

The Boilermakers finally showed some fight last week, staging a massive second-half comeback to force overtime against a ranked Illinois team on the road. They were down 24-3 at half before putting up 40 points in the final two quarters. After scoring a matching touchdown in OT, they rightfully went for two and came up just short on a pass. They may not have much to show with a 1-5 record following the loss, but the players and fans know that they fought until the end when they could have packed up shop at halftime.

After four weeks of blowout losses, the Boilermakers may have some mojo going for them. They now come into a home Friday night game against an Oregon team that is riding high with a major opportunity to play spoiler. Purdue is no stranger to this opportunity, possessing seven wins against ranked teams in the last three seasons. It's almost like they can't beat any evenly matched teams, but show up to play giant-killer under the lights. Three of those ranked wins were against top-five opponents, beating No. 2 Ohio State in 2018, as well as No. 2 Iowa and No. 3 Michigan State in 2021. The coaching staff and players may be different from those upsets, but the spirit of the Boilermakers lives on, and here is another perfect spot for them to give Oregon a run for their money.

While this spread has continued to move towards Oregon, bumping up to 29.5 after starting at 27.5, we are going to stay on the Purdue side here. They finished strong on offense against a solid Illinois defense last week, and will carry that momentum into this contest tonight. Our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool also likes the underdog tonight, giving the spread a 11% +EV. While the lesser 44% of spread bets are on Purdue, 57% of the total money is backing the Boilermakers to make it close tonight. If they can find a few early scores, they can land inside this number, even against a high-powered Ducks attack.

Oregon vs. Purdue Pick

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