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San Diego State vs. Boise State Prediction: Can Aztecs Keep it Close with Ashton Jeanty, Broncos on Friday?

The Boise State Broncos will look to stay hot at home against a struggling San Diego State team. Can the Aztecs find success in shutting down Ashton Jeanty and the Broncos? Matt McCuen provides his pick against the spread in San Diego State vs. Boise State.

Matt McCuen - November 1, 2024, 1:32 PM EDT

4 min

San Diego State vs. Boise State Prediction: Can Aztecs Keep it Close with Ashton Jeanty, Broncos on Friday?

The San Diego State and the Boise State Broncos will clash from Boise, Idaho on Friday night.

San Diego State begins the contest with a record of 3-4. The season has been up and down so far for the Aztecs. The Aztecs have won two of their last three games, but last weekend, the Aztecs lost at home in a close contest against Washington State.

San Diego State represents a 2-0 record in conference play. If the Aztecs can pull off an upset tonight, they will jump into first place in the Mountain West Conference. San Diego State posted its first losing season since 2009 last year.

San Diego State vs. Boise State Odds

San Diego State vs. Boise State Date, Time and Where To Watch

  • Date: November 1, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 pm ET
  • Where To Watch: CBS Sports Network

San Diego State vs. Boise State Prediction

Freshman Danny O'Neil leads the offense with 1,240 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions.

Marquez Copper leads the ground game with 748 yards and eight touchdowns.

Louis Brown IV leads the receiving game with 379 yards and two touchdowns.

Boise State rolls into the contest with a record of 6-1. That record has the Broncos ranked 15th in the nation.

The Broncos' lone loss came against Oregon in Week 2. Boise State is viewed as a legitimate playoff contender. The Broncos' 3-0 conference record places them in first in the Mountain West.

Sophomore QB Maddux Madsen leads the Broncos offense with 1,482 yards, 13 touchdowns, and two interceptions.

Heisman-hopeful Ashton Jeanty leads the nation with 1,376 yards and 18 touchdowns.

Lancaster, Texas, native Cameron Camper has been the top option in the passing game, with 477 yards receiving and four touchdowns.

San Diego State vs. Boise State Pick

We will ride with the underdog tonight.

Our oddschecker+ Positive EV tool loves this play, and so do I.

The implied probability of an Aztec cover is 51.81%, while our AI probability sits at 57 percent.

The resulting expected value of this wager is 10 percent, and we will ride that on the underdog.

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