ACC Championship Betting Pick: Best oddschecker+ Trends Bet for Clemson vs. SMU

The Clemson Tigers and SMU Mustangs will square off in Charlotte on Saturday night for the ACC Championship.

Clemson is no stranger to this game, winning six times in a row from 2015 to 2020. They've appeared eight times since 2011, and have won every single time they played in it. Dabo Swinney is 8-1 overall in the ACC title game, with the only loss coming in their first appearance in 2009.

SMU will be taking part in their first ACC Championship Game, as this is their inaugural year in the conference. This is their sixth-straight winning season, and they're looking for much more with a title victory tonight and a ticket to the College Football Playoff. Will they be able to overwhelm Dabo Swinney's experienced Tigers team? Let's take a look at this Clemson vs. SMU matchup and explore the best trends bet with our new oddschecker+ Trends Tool.

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Clemson Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs Odds

Clemson Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs Date, Time, and Where To Watch

• Date: December 7, 2024
• Time: 8:00 pm ET
• Where To Watch: ABC

Clemson Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction

SMU has been on an absolute roll in the last two months after a somewhat slow start in September. Their only loss of the year came against the BYU Cougars in the third week of the season, which seemed bad at the time, but ended up being a ranked loss as the Cougars continued to win nine times in a row. That loss inspired the SMU team to make changes, ending their two-quarterback system and handing the reigns of the offense to Kevin Jennings. They have won eight straight games since, and find themselves as the ninth-ranked team in the country entering this title game.

Jennings will now look to feed his top targets as they try to outsmart the Clemson defense tonight. SMU has a much more aggressive rushing attack, but they'll need to find a balance with the passing game tonight against a pretty solid Clemson defense. Our OC+ Trends tool understands the magnitude of this game, and is targeting the over 44.5 receiving yards for Key'Shawn Smith. Smith has hit over this number in three of his last four games, as well as five of the last seven. His only recent miss was in a 33-7 blowout of Virginia a few weeks ago, where the Mustangs didn't need to do much passing. Our Positive Value Bets tool is also riding with this pick at 24% +EV, with an AI projection of 50.6 yards receiving.

Let's ride with the oddschecker+ tools today and take the over on SMU's leading target tonight. 44.5 isn't much of an ask for the speedy senior in the biggest game of his career. He has over 500 yards receiving and five touchdowns this year, even on a team that is clearly run-first. If this game is close near the end, or if SMU is trailing at any point, it will only get easier for Jennings to connect with Smith and go over this relatively low number.

Clemson Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs Trends Pick

• Pick: Key'Shawn Smith Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Get oddschecker+ right now for just $9.99 per month. Don't miss out on this December deal!