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Matt O'Leary shares his favorite parlays for this weekend's games.

NFL Picks and Parlays: Top Parlay Picks For Divisional Round Games

This is the best week of football. It might be a hot take but with two games on Saturday and two games on Sunday, and the better matchups, this is prime time to be a football fan. In fact, I'm going to share three of my favorite parlay plays for you this weekend.

On Saturday we have the Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans and the San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers. Then, on day two it's the Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs. Let's get into it.

Click Here For NFL Divisional Round Odds

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Chiefs vs Bills SGP: Travis Kelce Anytime TD, Josh Allen over 254.5 passing yards, Patrick Mahomes over 254.5 passing yards (+260) (Bet $100 to win $260)

Travis Kelce has five touchdowns over his last four games. When the playoffs roll around, Travis Kelce takes his game to another level. In 13 career playoff games over seven years, he has 10 touchdowns to his name. Patrick Mahomes to Travis Kelce in January and February is about as close to a lock as you can get.

The second and third part to this play is over 254.5 for both quarterbacks. Mahomes has seven straight games with over 254.5 and went over 400 the last time we saw him against Pittsburgh. When the Bills came to town in the regular season, he went for 272 yards two touchdowns, and two picks. It wasn't his best game, obviously, but even in a "down game" he can clear 254.5 fairly easily.

For Allen, he's only cleared this number three times in his last seven games. When these two teams met earlier, he went for 315 and three touchdowns. Kansas City has allowed the sixth-most passing yards in the league. This looks like one that Allen will be able to throw the ball in.

Bengals ML/Under 47.5 + Packers ML/Under 46.5 (+1061) (Bet $100 to win $1061)

With the two games on Saturday, I like the under in both. So I'll go with a little moneyline and under parlay. In the first game, the Bengals have gone under in four of their last six. For Tennessee, they've gone under in seven of nine games. Plus, I think the Bengals pull the upset. They're playing really good football right now and I think that momentum continues against a team that feels like a one and done one seed.

In the second game, I'm confident that the Packers get the job done at home. Last time it was a high-scoring game but I don't think we get that this time. Instead, the San Fran defense will keep it close. The under has hit in five of the 49ers last six games and at home the Packers were split four to the over and four to the under.

Tom Brady over 249.5 passing yards + Rob Gronkowski Anytime TD (+155) (Bet $100 to win $155)

In 2021, Tom Brady threw for over 5,300 yards. His 312.7 yards per game was by far the most in the NFL and he's gone over 250 yards in all but five games. One of those games was a 38-3 when where he got the hook early. Actually, the last time the Rams and Buccaneers played in the regular season, he went for 432. It wouldn't shock me at all if he has to throw the ball a ton in this one as it projects to be a shootout.

For Gronk, playoff Rob Gronkowski is just built different. He has three touchdowns in five games with the Bucs in the playoffs but for his career he has 15 in 21 games. Like a fine wine, Rob Gronkowski and Tom Brady just continue to get better it feels like. I love Brady to find his old buddy in the endzone this week.

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Article Author


OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.


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