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Handicapper Josh Gayle is here betting his first under of the season here. The Browns and Steelers kick off Week 3 of the NFL season. See how Josh is betting this defensive battle between AFC North rivals to start the NFL week.
ANALYSIS

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Picks: Hammer This Jacoby Brissett Prop

Browns vs. Steelers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video

Click Here for Browns vs. Steelers Odds

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

1u - Jacoby Brissett Under 31.5 Longest Completion (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM

I’m seeing this with juice on every book but MGM so let's act quick here! We don’t typically bet on unders but this one is a good one. This game projects to be very windy with 20+ MPH winds and the game has a minuscule 38-point total that seems to be dropping more and more.

Jacoby Brissett has gone under this number in both games this year with his longest completions being of 30 and 24 yards. He has attempted 61 throws this year without hitting this number once on a completion. I don’t see his first long ball connection coming in a game with high winds and against a tough Steelers defense. This Steelers defense has only allowed one reception over this total in their two games and that was to Nelson Agholor of all people. They limited Joe Burrow to his longest completion being just 24 yards.

This line opened at 33.5 and we hesitated so if it ends at 32 or 33 then so be it. Jacoby is not a deep ball thrower and this game projects to be a battle of the run games. The highest yardage for longest reception on Cleveland is Amari Cooper with 19.5. I think Brissett completes a ball between 20-30 today but nothing beyond this 31.5 number we’re getting. Let's hope for mother nature to do us some good here. Let's roll!

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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