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Sunday's Week 4 in the NFL wraps up with a possible Super Bowl preview when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Kansas City Chiefs. Handicapper Jason Radowitz is here with the best player prop bets to make ahead of Sunday Night Football.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Travis Kelce Dominate SNF?

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, October 2
  • Time: 8:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC

Click Here for Buccaneers vs Chiefs Odds

The Chiefs and Buccaneers are usually winners. But both of these teams lost last week and will look to get back in the win column on Sunday Night Football. The Chiefs are still the better offense, with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. The highest-paid paid player in the NFL has thrown eight touchdowns with just one interception. But he's thrown for just 857 yards in the air through three games.

Through three games, the Chiefs are only averaging 378.7 yards per game. You'd expect Kansas City to be better offensively with Mahomes under center. Sure, they don't have Tyreek Hill anymore, but the offense has already shown glimpses of what they're capable of doing this year with new receivers like JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. On the flip side, the Buccaneers only average 17 points per game this season. They're 2-1 because the defense allows under 10 points per game. Tampa Bay hasn't been effective offensively and has struggled to finish drives throughout the first three weeks. But Mike Evans will be back from suspension, and Julio Jones should be healthy after missing the last game with an injury. Also, Chris Godwin will be back soon. For now, Russell Gage will be fine in his absence.

The offense should start to improve over the next couple of weeks. The defense will continue to hold it down while Tampa Bay starts to click on the offensive end. Here are some player props for Sunday's matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prop Predictions

Leonard Fournette Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (+105)

The Chiefs haven't been entirely awful defensively this season. But their weakness will be against the run and tackling. Fournette is a bruiser. He's rushed 57 times for 227, averaging four yards per carry this season. He's averaging 75.7 yards per game and we'll need just 67 yards to cash this ticket.

The Buccaneers have more weapons in the air with Evans and Jones returning, but the Buccaneers will still have to commit to the run to balance things out offensively. Fournette is averaging 19 carries per game. If he gets around 20 and averages four yards per carry, that's 80 yards rushing. Oddsmakers project Fournette to get 19 carries for 3.5 yards each. The way the Chiefs have missed tackles, I'm going to give Fournette the benefit of the doubt. He'll average four yards per carry and not 3.5.

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (+105)

Kelce wasn't happy with his performance last week against the Colts. He even went to social media to apologize and said he'd be better this week. I believe it. Kelce already has 17 catches for 230 yards and two touchdowns. He's been targeted 24 times and will have to catch every ball thrown his way if the Chiefs want a chance at defeating the Buccaneers on the road this week.

I like Kelce to have a big game with a ton of volume against Tampa Bay.

Patrick Mahomes Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Patrick Mahomes has just nine rushing attempts through three games with 30 yards this season. He's averaging 10 yards per game rushing and the Buccaneers are not an easy opponent to run around against.

Tampa Bay has been one of the few teams limiting missed tackles and they'll have a game plan to keep Mahomes in the pocket. Even if Mahomes takes off, it'll probably be a three-yard gain before he runs out of bounds or slides down.

SNF Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Player Props

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Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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