John Hyslop's Derrick Henry Premium Pick for TNF
John Hyslop is here with an NFL premium pick for Thursday Night Football. Slop, who has had ROIs over 60%, will look to continue dominating his bets.
John Hyslop - November 17, 2022, 12:18 PM EST
2 minJohn Hyslop's Derrick Henry Premium Pick for TNF
Derrick Henry 110+ Rushing Yards (+126) - FanDuel (Bet $100 to collect $226)
We're going to FanDuel for this one because I have no idea what the hell is going on at DraftKings. Right now, at DK you can bet Derrick Henry over 98.5 rushing yards at -125 or you can bet 100+ at -165. A monkey pressing buttons could price better than that (No offense DraftKings. I still like you guys.) I'm just saying until they get things figured out at DK, we may as well play at FanDuel. Plus you can get 125+ (+198) or even 150+ (+410) at the Duel. Feels right.
Now, this may be the squarest play on the board. You're going to see tweets from all the bookmakers saying how 99% of the Derrick Henry bets are on the over. My guess is they're trying to galaxy-brain us into taking the under. These people are desperate and those types of tweets show just how desperate they are. I'm not falling for it. There is no way I would want a Derrick Henry under tonight.
For starters, we're talking Derrick Henry here people. If you were game planning for tonight's game, the only thing you have to be thinking is to give the ball the Derrick Henry. It's not like it's crazy. Ryan Tannehill is your quarterback so throwing simply isn't an option. Plus Henry is like 6'9", 285 pounds, and can run a 4.1 40. On top of that, it's like 0 degrees in Green Bay. Would you want to jump in front of a tank like that moving at 30+ mph? Of course not. Nobody wants that job.
Even if Henry wasn't Henry, you still want to run at Green Bay. So far this season, only one team in the entire NFL has given up more rushing yards to running backs than the Packers (Texans). They simply can't stop the run. On a per-carry basis, only one team is worse than they are when playing at home (Giants). We're talking 5.5 yards per carry here people. Tony Pollard just went for 115 against them last week. I think the Titans are just going to pound the rock all night and if they do, the Packers won't stop them. Henry could set a record tonight.
