Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Player Prop Pick: Can Brian Robinson Log the Yards?
Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Player Prop Pick: Can Brian Robinson Log the Yards?
The Commanders travel to Houston Sunday afternoon to take on the Commanders. Here's a look at NFL handicapper Josh Gayle's prediction, pick, and odds.
Want to ride this bet on Sunday? Click here to get the best sports betting promos on Texans vs. Commanders available in your state right now!
Texans vs. Commanders Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date - Sunday, November 20, 2022
- Game Time - 1:00 p.m. EDT
- Where - NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
- Where to Watch - Fox
Click here for Texans vs. Commanders odds
Texans vs. Commanders Prediction
1u - Brian Robinson o64.5 Rush Yards (-115). Bet $100 to collect $186
Might be riding the chalk here but a good bet is a good bet.
Last week we saw Robinson have a rushing prop of 33.5, but we don’t live in that world anymore. Robinson’s prop may have doubled, but I still see value in it for tomorrow. Robinson faces off against the single worst rush defense in the league. The Houston Texans allow 156 rushing yards per game to running backs. Houston has only had one game without allowing the RB1 to hit 65+ rush yards and that was Austin Ekeler who is notoriously known for being a receiving back more than a pure runner.
Win $200 once a player scores in the NFL when you claim the BetMGM bonus code
Robinson saw 26 handoffs against Philly last week. Although I don’t see him getting that type of workload again, I think he could see 17-18 attempts if the game script goes how it should. Robinson is due to some positive regression in his efficiency, and I expect his yards per carry to improve and this is the matchup to do it. Houston allows 5.4 yards per carry which are over 2 yards higher than Robinson’s, so I expect him to break a big run or two here.
Robinson has run for 60+ yards in 3/4 of the games he played in that Washington won. The Commanders enter this game as field goal favorites, and even if they lose I don’t see them abandoning the run knowing how bad Texans are at defending it. This number is slightly low and I think Robinson could see 70+ yards even with an inefficient night if he sees the volume. Gibson will get some work but let's hope Washington remains consistent and rides his momentum from last week onto Houston, let's roll!