WeBeatTheSpread's Premium Bills vs. Dolphins Prop Pick
With the Bills and Dolphins ready to meet in the NFL Playoffs for the third time this season, we need a player prop pick to hammer. Luckily for us, Ben Rajavuori has identified his favorite prop play for this one.
Ben Rajavuori - January 15, 2023, 12:27 PM EST
3 minWeBeatTheSpread's Premium Bills vs. Dolphins Prop Pick
The Bills and Dolphins square off in week one of the playoffs from Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, New York. The Bills are expected to dominate this game behind Josh Allen, and the Dolphins are playing in a worst-case scenario without Tua Tagovailoa. The Bills are currently -14 today, and it is expected to be a rout. With that being said, there is a player prop that stuck out to me today, and it involves none other than Josh Allen.
Josh Allen has had an excellent season through the air, but he has also been one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the league, using his legs quite often. In week three, Josh Allen rushed for 47 yards on the Dolphins. In week 15, Allen rushed for 77 yards against the Dolphins. The Dolphins have struggled against dual-threat quarterbacks, as they give up the second-most rushing yards to quarterbacks behind only the Lions. In 10 career games against the Dolphins, Allen has accumulated 554 yards on the ground with four rushing touchdowns. Despite his success on the ground this season, he has yet to score a rushing touchdown against the Dolphins across both games. Because of that, I actually like him to score even MORE today.
Allen had a slower start to the season in terms of scoring touchdowns with his own legs. Across his first six games, he only had two rushing touchdowns. However, in the nine games since then, he has rushed for five touchdowns, scoring in over half of his games on average. He has gone on an every-other streak with rushing touchdowns dating back to his game against Detroit, and he did not score last week against the Patriots.
When you look at teams Allen has scored against this season, it has been against teams who struggle against dual-threat quarterbacks. Considering that, it is somewhat surprising that Allen didn't score in either game against the Dolphins this season. He scored four rushing touchdowns in eight games against them so far in his career, which means he should be due for a good run into the end zone today. The best running quarterbacks the Dolphins have faced this season besides Allen, like Lamar Jackson and Justin Fields, have all scored against them. In a game the Bills are expected to dominate, I like Allen to score one on his own today.
WeBeatTheSpread's Premium Bills vs. Dolphins Prop
- Pick: Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown @ +130 (Bet $100 to collect $230) Get the best odds at DraftKings right now
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