WeBeatTheSpreads' Premium Chiefs vs. Bengals Same Game Parlay for the AFC Championship
Given that there are only two games left in the season, you know we have to send a same-game parlay for this one. This one is carefully formulated with the best four props for tonight's Chiefs vs. Bengals game. Let's get into it.
Ben Rajavuori - January 29, 2023, 5:07 PM EST
5 minWeBeatTheSpreads' Premium Chiefs vs. Bengals Same Game Parlay for the AFC Championship
+1069 Same-Game Parlay
- Leg One: Joe Burrow O17.5 Rushing Yards @ -110
- Leg Two: Ja'Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown @ +105
- Leg Three: Samaje Perine O16.5 Receiving Yards @ -120
- Leg Four: Jerick McKinnon O29.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
Leg One: Joe Burrow O17.5 Rushing Yards @ -110
The Bengals' offensive line is maybe the weakest unit on the field tonight. There are injuries, but even without the injuries, the offensive line has been a problem. As such, we have seen Joe Burrow take off more than usual, especially against teams with good defensive lines. The Chiefs are pretty good at bringing pressure on the defense. The Chiefs' secondary is prone to big plays, but the front line is consistently pressuring quarterbacks.
In the first meeting this season, Burrow took off 11 times against the Chiefs for 46 yards. Last season, in the AFC Championship, Burrow had five rushing attempts for 25 yards against the Chiefs. It seems like the trend is that Burrow likes to extend broken plays against the Chiefs, and he seems more comfortable doing that now. Last week against Buffalo, Burrow took off and ran any time he felt pressured, it seemed like. He ended up with six rushing attempts for 31 yards, and I could see a similar stat line tonight.
Leg Two: Ja'Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown @ +105
Once again, Ja'Marr Chase has a pretty surprising touchdown line. Chase leads the team with nine touchdowns, and he scored once in both playoff games so far this postseason. He scored last week in a full-out blizzard in Buffalo, which means he can score in any weather and situation. He scored nine touchdowns in just 12 regular-season games and has two touchdowns in two postseason games in 2023 now.
Chase failed to score a touchdown against the Chiefs in the regular-season meeting this season, but that seems more like a fluke. He had 97 receiving yards and somehow managed not to find the end zone, but he has in previous meetings against the Chiefs. In the two meetings Chase has had with the Chiefs before the last game, Chase had four combined touchdowns. The Chiefs allow 1.7 touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers, which ranks third-most in the NFL. Chase is Burrow's favorite look in the red zone, and he will score again tonight.
Leg Three: Samaje Perine O16.5 Receiving Yards @ -120
I already did an entire article on this one play. This is my two-unit max for tonight and my favorite prop pick on the game. Click on my name to head to my profile and see the article breaking down this play!
Leg Four: Jerick McKinnon O29.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
With Mahomes dealing with an ankle sprain, this play has to be my favorite for a Chiefs player tonight. While Isiah Pacheco has emerged as the top running option for the Chiefs, McKinnon has been the consistent passing lookout of the backfield for the Chiefs.
McKinnon has been a preferred passing option in the red zone, amassing 56 catches and nine receiving touchdowns, which is second on the team behind Travis Kelce. With Kelce also dealing with an injury and even listed as a game-time decision, I expect McKinnon's red zone role to increase even more. McKinnon is fourth on the team with 512 receiving yards this season and has been a reliable set of hands, which should mean he sees a lot of action tonight with the Mahomes injury. Mahomes will not have the mobility to escape the pocket as he usually has, meaning he will look for the short dump-offs and check-downs more often than usual. That is where McKinnon excels, and I expect him to be a heavy part of the adjusted game plan with the Mahomes injury. McKinnon broke 30 receiving yards in four of the final five regular season games, and he should again against the Bengals.
Four-Leg Same Game Parlay @ (+1069) Bet $100 to collect $1169. Fanduel has the best odds, click here
- Leg One: Joe Burrow O17.5 Rushing Yards @ -110
- Leg Two: Ja'Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown @ +105
- Leg Three: Samaje Perine O16.5 Receiving Yards @ -120
- Leg Four: Jerick McKinnon O29.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
