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The Lions are in Kansas City, taking on the Chiefs to kick off the 2023 NFL season. Amon-Ra St. Brown had a great season last year, so what can we expect from him tonight? Handicapper Top Cheddar answers.
ANALYSIS

Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Picks: What Can We Expect From Amon-Ra St. Brown?

Amon-Ra St. Brown was one of the biggest breakout stars last year in the NFL. The young wideout broke out with over 1100 yards and six touchdowns in his second season in the NFL and is expected to take an even bigger step this year. He faces a tough Kansas City Chiefs team, but they are prone to allowing receiving yards all season. What can we expect from Amon-Ra tonight?

Lions vs. Chiefs Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: September 7, 2023
  • Time: 8:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC

Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Today, we will be targeting Amon-Ra's receptions, not his yards. His yards have gotten a little too crazy for my liking, and he is much more consistent in receptions. He has hit his 6.5 line in seven of his last ten matches and 56% on the season last year. He is averaging over seven catches per game in his last ten. Overall, Amon-Ra has hit in four of his last five road games as well for this number.

I love the game script opportunity here. I expect the Chiefs to be winning, and Amon-Ra has hit in four of his last five games when the Lions are losing or tied in the third quarter and in two of his last three games last year when they tied at halftime.

I expect the Chiefs, who did give up the 13th most passing yards in 2022, to suffer slightly with the loss of all-pro defensive tackle Chris Jones, who is holding out. He is a big part of pressuring the quarterback, and with some more time, it should allow Jared Goff and Amon-Ra to connect.

Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Pick

The Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 6.5 Receptions -146 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

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Top Cheddar is OddsChecker's own multi-sport handicapper who specializes in a mix of bankroll builders and lottos. You can expect a mix of team lines and player props backed by data from Top Cheddar. Whether it's NHL, MLB or NFL, you can always expect sharp, data-driven plays from him.

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