New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Pick, Odds: Will the Cowboys Defense Make Another Statement?
The Dallas Cowboys are taking on another New York team this week. Can the Cowboys' defense make another statement in the NFL? NFL analyst Matthew MacKay breaks down the New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys game.
Matt MacKay - September 17, 2023, 11:41 AM EDT
7 minNew York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Pick, Odds: Will the Cowboys Defense Make Another Statement?
The season-ending Achilles injury Aaron Rodgers sustained in Week 1 on Monday Night Football has once again thrust Zach Wilson back into the QB1 role for the New York Jets for the foreseeable future. After being selected No. 2 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, Wilson has failed to meet the lofty expectations with his draft capital, but he gets arguably his toughest test yet on the road against a defense that just shut out the Giants 40-0 on the road.
Dallas, conversely, had its defense and special teams lead the way in Week 1, which allowed the offense to coast, with RB1 Tony Pollard racking up two touchdowns. They are dealing with some injuries along the offensive line, but the Jets' strength lies in its secondary, as they managed to overcome adversity in Week 1, forcing four turnovers against Josh Allen and the Bills, resulting in a miraculous comeback win in overtime.
Oddsmakers have little faith in the Jets with Wilson under center, as the Cowboys are laying 9.5 points ATS. The point total line is set at 38.5 points, with -115 odds on the under, while the Cowboys' moneyline odds are extremely short, currently sitting at -405 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. This essentially translates to the Cowboys winning 31-7 or even 38-0 for their second straight shutout.
NFL handicapper Matt MacKay is here with his latest analysis, including the best bet to place between the New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys during Sunday's late afternoon Week 2 slate.
Jets vs. Cowboys Date, Time, and Where To Watch
- Date: Sunday, September 17
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
Jets vs. Cowboys Odds
- Spread: Jets +9.5 (-115), Cowboys -9.5 (-105)
- Total Odds: Under 38.5 (-115), Over 38.5 (-105)
- Moneyline Odds: Jets (+320), Cowboys (-405)
New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Injury Report
Jets
Questionable: OT Duane Brown (Shoulder), RB Breece Hall (Knee), DL Carl Lawson (Back)
Out: QB Aaron Rodgers (Achilles)
Cowboys
Probable: OT Tyron Smith (Ankle), OL Tyler Smith (Hamstring)
Questionable: G Zack Martin (Groin), WR Brandin Cooks (Knee)
Out: N/A
New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction
It may be shocking, but the Jets have won the last three head-to-head matchups against the Cowboys. However, their last game happened in 2019. Trends help identify that the Jets' last six games have gone under the total points line, while the Cowboys have won eight consecutive home games.
The point total line has gone under in six of the Jets' last seven road games, including five consecutive games of cashing the under, while the fast artificial turf at AT&T Stadium has resulted in the Cowboys cashing the over in each of its last five games. It's due to this conflicting data, plus the mismatched battle in the trenches between the Cowboys' defensive line and the porous Jets' offensive line, that makes betting a low point total tricky in this matchup.
The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread after a win in five straight games. The point spread is the biggest on the Week 2 slate, giving the Jets 9.5 points as road underdogs. It feels like the Cowboys and Jets will both turn to the running game in this matchup, which will grind the clock and create fewer scoring possessions. Both defenses have enough talent to force turnovers, so with the Cowboys facing an inexperienced, raw prospect like Wilson, we're setting up for another Dallas defensive touchdown in Week 2.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Cowboys' anytime defensive touchdown prop set at +380 odds, which is higher than Dak Prescott and Allen Lazard's anytime touchdown props. Oddsmakers appear bullish on the Cowboys' defense, and for good reason, so whether it's a scoop and score or a pick-six, let's cash this lucrative +380 anytime touchdown prop by betting a unit on the Cowboys' defense to record a touchdown against the Jets at home in Week 2.
New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick
- Pick: Dallas Defense Anytime Touchdown Scorer +380 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds in this pick
NFL Odds
