Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick: Can Patrick Mahomes Shine on Thursday Night?

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos on Thursday Night Football on a four game win streak. Can Patrick Mahomes light up the scoreboard on this ladder play? Matt Callahan answers.

MJC Locks - October 12, 2023, 10:03 AM EDT

5 min

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick: Can Patrick Mahomes Shine on Thursday Night?

I am going to be backing 2-time super bowl champion Patrick Mahomes in the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs. Mahomes has played extremely well against his division over the last year, especially the Broncos. I’m expecting that to continue again in this one versus the worst defense in the league. Below are more reasons why I like this ladder play.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Date, Time, and Where to Watch

Date: October 12, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick

KC Chiefs Team Total sits at 29.5 on most books which implies ~ 4 TDs scored for KC - DEN Allowed CHI, MIA, WAS to score 4, 10, and 4 Total TDs
DEN Broncos are Allowing the Most Pass TDs this Season – 3 of the Last 4 QBs Cleared their Pass TDs and Yards vs DEN Broncos (See Below)
Justin Fields 335 Yards 4 Pass TDs
Tua Tagovailoa 309 Yards 4 Pass TDs
Sam Howell 299 Yards 2 Pass TDs
Mahomes has 3+ Pass TDs in 4 of the Last 5 Division Games (328+ Pass Yards in 3 of the Last 4)
3+ Pass TDs in both Games vs DEN Broncos Last Season
In Games KC Chiefs have scored 4+ TDs - Mahomes has 3+ Pass TDs in 11 of the Last 13 Games (4+ Pass TDs in 4 of the Last 13 Games)

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick

1U – Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing TDs (+162)

.25U - Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing TDs + 325 Passing Yards (+535)

.2U – Patrick Mahomes 4+ Passing TDs (+550)

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