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Isiah Pacheco Chiefs away

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prop Pick: Can Isiah Pacheco Continue to Cook on TNF?

The Kansas City Chiefs play host to the Denver Broncos tonight. Is it Isiah Pacheco's time to shine on Thursday Night Football? NFL handicapper Hollywood Picks shares his Broncos vs. Chiefs player prop pick.

Hollywood Picks - October 12, 2023, 9:48 AM EDT

4 min

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prop Pick: Can Isiah Pacheco Continue to Cook on TNF?

In today's primetime game I believe the Kansas City Chiefs will dominate versus the Denver Broncos. The Broncos currently have the worst rushing defense in the NFL, which I believe will lead Isiah Pacheco to have a monstrous day. The Broncos haven't been able to stop any running backs this season, and 4/5 running backs have rushed for over 80+ yards against them. I don't think today will be any different and Pacheco will cruise past this line.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: October 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Prime Video

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Broncos +10.5 (-110), Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
  • Total Odds: O/U 48.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Broncos (+400), Chiefs (-535)

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

This prop is actually pretty simple, the Broncos have been absolutely horrendous stopping the run this season. Ranking last in the league in rushing yards given up, with Breece Hall having 144 yards, Khalil Herbert with 103 yards, De'Von Achane with 203 yards, and Brian Robinson with 87 yards.

The Broncos rank 32nd in both raw and scheduled adjusted rush yards per game, 30th and 32nd in opponent rush attempts per game. If you can see the trend here, running backs have been having an absolute field day versus these guys.

Along with that, the Broncos have been getting blown out by nearly any good team they play, which leads to a perfect running script. Personally, with as good as Pacheco has been rushing the ball this season, I believe this line is way too low for a guy that will get lots of touches in a potential blowout game today.

Pacheco had over 70+ rushing yards versus respectable New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars defenses, who are both solid at stopping the run. I believe tomorrow will be a field day for Pacheco, and will soar past 77.5 rushing yards on a struggling and injured Denver Broncos defense.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick

Isiah Pacheco Over 77.5 rushing yards. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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