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Dalton Kincaid Bills

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prop Pick: Can Dalton Kincaid Go Off on Sunday Night Football?

The Cincinnati Bengals will host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football. Without Dawson Knox in the lineup, can Dalton Kincaid continue to surge in usage for the Buffalo Bills? Ben Rajavuori finds the edge in his latest prop pick.

Ben Rajavuori - November 5, 2023, 12:35 PM EST

5 min

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prop Pick: Can Dalton Kincaid Go Off on Sunday Night Football?

The Bills return to Cincinnati to face the Bengals on Sunday night football after losing to the Bengals in the playoffs last year 27-10. The Bills have been a little shaky as of late, going 2-2 over their last four games. The Bengals have been on fire lately, going 3-0 in their last three games. They have bounced back nicely after starting the season 1-3, with an injured Joe Burrow. What can we expect in tonight's matchup between two of the best in the AFC?

Bills vs. Bengals Date, Time, And Where To Watch

  • Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

The player I love to have a game tonight is Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid is a rookie out of Utah, and he has been very productive in his first season in the NFL. We know Allen loves his tight ends, and he has hit Kincaid early this season, even with Knox healthy. Kincaid is third on the team with 258 receiving yards, and that's with only seven games played.

Kincaid will now have his lone opportunity in the spotlight because Dawson Knox is on the IR as of last week. In the first game without Knox, Kincaid had seven targets for five receptions and 65 receiving yards. That marks back-to-back weeks that Kincaid has had 65+ receiving yards. His total tonight is 40.5.

Kincaid was only playing around 50-55% of snaps with Dawson Knox healthy, but his snap percentage jumped up to 84% last week without Knox. Kincaid had already been getting near or over this line with a healthy Knox, but now he is the lone tight end, and he has shown good hands early in the season.

This is just a simple play of a rookie being overlooked. It was no coincidence that Kincaid had seven targets last week and turned it into 65 receiving yards. The Bengals give up the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends per game with 55. With Knox serving as the starting tight end and playing 80+ percent of snaps again, 41 yards is very doable for him.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prop Pick

Pick: Dalton Kincaid Over 40.5 Receiving Yards -110 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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