Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can CJ Stroud, Texans Hold Off Jaguars In Huge AFC South Matchup?
The Houston Texans will host the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday afternoon for a huge AFC South matchup. Can CJ Stroud and the Texans hold off the Jaguars and take the lead in AFC South? Jason Radowitz answers.
Jason Radowitz - November 22, 2023, 4:30 PM EST
5 minJaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can CJ Stroud, Texans Hold Off Jaguars In Huge AFC South Matchup?
The Houston Texans will welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars to NRG Stadium for a huge AFC South matchup.
The Jaguars currently lead the AFC South with a 7-3 record. They're 4-0 on the road and 5-2 in conference play. Now they'll hit the road to take on the Texans, who are one game away from the Jaguars in the standings at 6-4.
The Texans have gone 5-1 at home and have gone 5-2 in conference play.
Houston can tie things up in the AFC South standings with a win this weekend.
Can C.J. Stroud and the Texans pull off the win?
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans.
Jaguars vs. Texans Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: November 26, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
Jaguars vs. Texans Odds
- Spread: Jaguars -1.5 (-110), Texans +1.5 (-110)
- Total Odds: O/U 48.5 (-110)
- Moneyline Odds: Jaguars (-120), Texans (+100)
Jaguars vs. Texans Injury Report
Jaguars
Questionable: CB Tyson Campbell (Hamstring)
Out: WR Jamal Agnew (Shoulder)
Texans
Questionable: RB Dameon Pierce (Ankle), WR Noah Brown (Knee), S Jimmie Ward (Hamstring), LB Henry To'oto'o (Concussion), LB Jake Hansen (Hamstring),
Out: K Ka'imi Fairbairn (Quadricep), S Eric Murray (Knee), DT Hassan Ridgeway (Achilles)
Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction
The Texans haven't been consistent on the defensive end. The secondary has played well, along with the pass rush. However, the Houston defense has allowed 96.5 yards on the ground while missing tons and tons of tackles per game.
The Texans are way worse than the box score shows against the run.
However, the Jaguars only add 108.7 yards per game on the ground this season. Travis Etienne Jr. has rushed for 670 yards and seven touchdowns, but he hasn't been a great runner.
Part of the reason is that the Jaguars have one of the worst run-block offensive lines in the NFL.
On the other hand, the Texans have added 277.7 yards in the air per game behind C.J. Stroud. Jacksonville has a very good secondary, but it's still allowed 254.4 yards per game in the air.
It's not really the secondary's fault. It's the Jacksonville pass rush that rarely gets in the backfield to create chaos. If the pass rush isn't good, eventually, receivers will get open in the secondary.
That's what will likely happen in this game.
Stroud has thrown 17 touchdowns and just five interceptions this year. He's outplayed most quarterbacks as a rookie.
That won't change. Stroud is in the MVP race for a reason. Houston's offense is way more reliable than Jacksonville's despite both teams scoring about 23 points per game. It just took Houston some time to get going.
At home, in a rivalry, divisional matchup, I've got the Texans rallying past the Jaguars on Sunday.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Pick
- Texans +1.5 -110 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportbook has the bets odds
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