New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Same Game Parlay: Can Breece Hall, Rhamondre Stevenson Deliver on TNF?
The New York Jets will continue on with their home opener tonight on Thursday Night Football. Can Breece Hall and Rhamondre Stevenson carry the load tonight in a battle of running backs? MJC Locks is back with his same-game parlay for Patriots vs. Jets on TNF.
MJC Locks - September 19, 2024, 1:52 PM EDT
5 minNew England Patriots vs. New York Jets Same Game Parlay: Can Breece Hall, Rhamondre Stevenson Deliver on TNF?
We have another primetime NFL game tonight for Thursday Night Football and this one is will be a divisional matchup between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots. These divisional games can be really slow and low-scoring, and given the makeups of these two teams, I think we get just that tonight. Here is the SGP that I am rocking with for Thursday Night Football with my reasoning for each leg.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: September 19, 2024
- Time: 8:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Amazon Prime
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Same Game Parlay
Leg 1: Breece Hall 25+ Receiving Yards
I am rocking with RB1 for the Jets, Breece Hall to have nice day through the air in this matchup. Since Breece has shared the field with Aaron Rodgers, he has been targeted like crazy. He has five and seven receptions so far this season going for 52 and 39 yards. Breece has also played extremely well at home, especially when his team wins. He has put up the following receiving yards totals in home games: 96, 86, 54, 20, & 100 receiving yards. The Patriots have been a solid run defense so far but have allowed RBs to have solid receiving games so far: Zack Charbonnet had five receptions for 31 yards in Week 2, while Chase Brown and Zack Moss combined for five catches and 29 yards in Week 1. I'm expecting a great game from Breece Hall tonight.
Leg 2: Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ Rushing + Receiving Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson has been getting fed the ball through two weeks this season. He has had 23 and 28 touches in the two games this season and should get a ton of volume again tonight, despite the projected negative game script. The Patriots identity on offense is to run the ball, and against an elite Jets secondary, I think they continue to pound the ball on the ground and take advantage of easy completions to Stevenson and their tight ends. When Stevenson has at least a 59% snap% (78% & 72% so far in Weeks 1 & 2), he has 60+ rushing + receiving yards in 21 of his last 24 games. I expect him to continue this trend tonight against a Jets team that has allowed the 6th most receiving yards per game to RBs and the 9th most rushing yards per game to RBs this season.
Leg 3: Under 43.5 Total Points Scored
I have added on an alternate under for this parlay at 43.5 points as it fits in with the game script that I am expecting for this game and also gives us a slight negative correlation boost. If New England keeps the ball on the ground a ton, that will chew up a ton of clock. Like I mentioned before, these divisional games tend to be slower paced and grind it out type of games with these two teams knowing each other very well. Thursday Night primetime games also have a nice unders trend going over the past few years. I am expecting the main totals line to go under tonight, but I have added on a few points of cushion for this parlay. Let's cash this one!
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Same Game Parlay (+314) (Bet $25 to Collect $103)
- Leg 1: Breece Hall 25+ Receiving Yards
- Leg 2: Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Leg 3: Under 43.5 Total Points Scored
NFL Odds
