NFL Best Betting Picks: Five Best oddschecker+ Positive EV Bets for Thursday Night Football
The Atlanta Falcons will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. Matt McCuen has stacked up the top prop picks for Bucs vs. Falcons with help from our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool, so it's time to cash in on the best bets to kick off NFL Week 5.
Matt McCuen - October 3, 2024, 12:26 PM EDT
5 minNFL Best Betting Picks: Five Best oddschecker+ Positive EV Bets for Thursday Night Football
Today, we will look at my five best +EV bets for tonight's Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons matchup on Thursday Night Football.
The Buccaneers offense was on fire last week with Baker Mayfield feeding Mike Evans, while the Falcons emerged victorious thanks to strong efforts from Darnell Mooney and Bijan Robinson. Who will be going off tonight? Our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool is honing in on the best bets for stars and outliers.
Be sure to sign up for a 7-day free Trial to get all of our +EV bets at oddschecker+. Let's jump into these winners!
Thursday Night Football Best Betting Picks
1. Kyle Pitts Any Time Touchdown +310 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Pitts found the end zone to open the year, but has not seen his way back into the end zone in the past three weeks.
The former Florida star was held off the stat sheet last week, but will look to bounce back with a solid prime-time performance.
Pitts is one of the best red zone options for the Falcons, and has seen high usage in the red zone this season.
2. Bijan Robinson Over 29.5 Receiving Yards +108 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The second-year running back may be the best pass-catching running back in the NFL.
Robinson has gone over this number in two of his four games. Atlanta will create different ways to get the ball into Robinson's hands in space.
The expected value of this prop is 29.5 percent.
3. Darnell Mooney Longest Reception Over 19.5 Yards Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
After one month, the former Chicago Bears WR leads the squad in receiving yards.
Mooney is known for his big play-downfield ability, and will get multiple opportunities to go over this number tonight.
Our AI probability of cashing this prop is 69.41%.
4. Kyle Pitts Over 24.5 Rec Yards -162 Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
There is a strong chance Pitts goes over this number in the first half.
The tight end has seen high usage this season, playing in nearly 80 percent of offensive snaps.
After being blanked a week ago, Atlanta will get Pitts involved early in this game.
5. Baker Mayfield Over 234.5 Passing Yards Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Buccaneers will be in a negative game script tonight.
This means we will see Mayfield forced to throw the football, especially in the second half of the game.
The expected value of this wager is 17.35%.
NFL Odds
