Bears vs. Ravens Prediction: Can Ravens End Losing Skid in Lamar Jackson's Absence?
The Ravens and Bears will clash in Baltimore today, with the Ravens desperate to turn around a 1-5 start. They're coming off the bye week, but still won't have Lamar Jackson after previously expecting him to play. McBets is still down to fade the Bears in this spot, and explains why in his Bears vs. Ravens prediction for Sunday, October 26th.
McBets - October 26, 2025, 11:15 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadBears vs. Ravens Prediction: Can Derrick Henry Carry Ravens Without Lamar Jackson?
The Baltimore Ravens host the Chicago Bears on Sunday in what looks like a reality-check spot for one team and a reset spot for the other. Chicago enters riding a four-game winning streak, while Baltimore comes in off a bye, finally getting healthy on defense.
Even with Lamar Jackson being ruled out, the matchup, situation, and regression indicators all point one direction.
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Bears vs. Ravens Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: CBS
Bears vs. Ravens Odds
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Bears vs. Ravens Prediction
Chicago has beaten: Commanders — Raiders — Saints — Cowboys (injury-plagued)
Over that stretch the Bears:
- Were outgained by 100 yds vs Las Vegas and still won
- Went +13 in turnovers over four games (unsustainable)
Strip out turnovers and this is still a bottom-tier defense: 29th in EPA/play allowed • Bad vs run • Bad vs pass when not gifted takeaways.
This is not a team built to travel and win without breaks falling their way.
Ravens Profitable Off the Bye
This is exactly the kind of spot where Baltimore historically cashes:
- Harbaugh teams are elite out of the bye (rest + prep advantage)
- Roquan Smith returns in the middle
- Secondary fully intact (Humphrey, Hamilton, Awuzie + Alohi Gilman)
- Allows Baltimore to deploy more 3-safety disguise looks
Baltimore can still control this game with defense and script.
Caleb Williams has the second-highest misthrow rate in the NFL. Those mistakes were covered up by opponent injuries and turnovers the last four games — they won’t be in Baltimore.
The Bears’ run bump came against soft fronts. Baltimore is not soft inside, and when Chicago is forced into 3rd & long, that misthrow rate becomes a problem fast.
Bears vs. Ravens Trends
Historically, teams with a losing win % vs a winning team after a bye are very profitable.
Chicago is due for turnover regression. Baltimore is due for defensive stabilization. This is buy-Ravens / sell-Bears before the market catches up.
Bears vs. Ravens Pick
- 2 Unit Pick: Ravens ML (-140) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Bears have been winning on volatility, luck, and timing. The Ravens win with structure, prep, and health returning at the right moment.
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