Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NFL Odds for Week 12 NFC East Showdown
The Dallas Cowboys will try to carry the momentum from Monday Night Football's win when they take on the red-hot Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday afternoon. Can Dak Prescott and the Cowboys find a way to score on the Eagles stacked defense that just shut down the Lions and Packers? Let's take a look at this Eagles vs. Cowboys NFC East battle.
OC Staff - November 23, 2025, 2:45 PM EST
5 Minute ReadEagles vs. Cowboys Prediction: Can Dak Prescott, Cowboys Solve Philly's Stacked Defense in NFC East Clash?
The NFC East showdown is set to unfold, pitting two teams on starkly different trajectories against each other. The Philadelphia Eagles, soaring at 8-2 and leading the conference, arrive in Arlington on a formidable four-game winning streak, boasting an impressive 4-1 road record.
The Dallas Cowboys, however, are struggling at 4-5, languishing at #10 in the conference, with just a single win in their last four outings despite a respectable 2-1 home record. This contest will not just be about division bragging rights; it's a battle of wills, where a few key individual clashes could dictate the narrative.
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Eagles vs. Cowboys Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- How to Watch: FOX
Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds
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Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction
The centerpiece of this game will undoubtedly be Jalen Hurts and his multi-faceted attack against a Dallas Cowboys defense showing significant vulnerabilities. Hurts is projected for a solid 21/30 passing for 227.9 yards and 0.5 interceptions. While these numbers are strong, his historical performance against Top-10 pass defenses—a remarkable 107.6 Passer Rating with 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions across seven games—suggests he often elevates his play when the stakes are highest. Critically, Dallas's pass defense, ranking a concerning 29th in QB Rating Allowed, is far from a top unit, presenting a clear advantage for Hurts.
Beyond his arm, Hurts' rushing prowess (averaging 37.2 yards per game and projected for 28.1) introduces a critical dimension. The Cowboys' run defense, ranking 22nd in Rush Yards/Carry, has struggled to contain opposing ground attacks. This creates a challenging scenario for Dallas: commit resources to stopping Hurts' legs, potentially opening up the passing game, or try to cover receivers, leaving lanes for the quarterback to exploit. The model identifies a significant edge on Hurts' 'Over 227.9 Passing Yards' prop at 1.91 (-110), with a robust 15.6% Expected Value. This robust EV indicates that even with his rushing threat, his passing production against a struggling Cowboys secondary is being significantly undervalued by the market, likely benefiting from extended plays and favorable matchups.
On the other side of the ball, Dak Prescott and his top target, George Pickens, face a much more daunting task against an Eagles defense that excels where Dallas is weakest. Prescott is projected for 24/35 passing for 249.6 yards and 0.7 interceptions. However, he goes up against an Eagles pass defense that ranks an elite 4th in QB Rating Allowed. His historical splits against Top-10 pass defenses (3 games) show a modest 84.3 Passer Rating, 231.7 YPG, 3 TDs, and 2 INTs – a performance that suggests he can move the ball but struggles for efficiency against top-tier coverage.
His primary receiving weapon, George Pickens, is projected for 5.1 receptions and 73.4 receiving yards. This is where the narrative takes an interesting turn. Despite facing an elite pass defense, the model flags a strong edge on Pickens' 'Over 73.4 Receiving Yards' prop at 1.91 (-110), with a substantial 5.7% Expected Value. This high-value opportunity suggests that even against the Eagles' formidable secondary, the model anticipates Pickens finding ways to exceed market expectations, perhaps through a high target share in a game where Dallas may be forced to throw frequently, or by capitalizing on specific coverage looks. Meanwhile, the model finds a moderate advantage on Prescott's 'Over 249.6 Passing Yards' at 1.91 (-110) with a 3.7% EV, suggesting that volume could see him hit the over despite the efficiency challenge.
While much attention focuses on A.J. Brown, the quietly consistent DeVonta Smith is poised for a significant outing against the Cowboys' struggling pass defense. Smith is projected for 4.8 receptions and 67.4 receiving yards. He'll be operating against a Dallas pass defense that, as previously noted, ranks a dismal 29th in QB Rating Allowed. This is a clear mismatch in Smith's favor.
With Hurts' ability to extend plays and the Cowboys' secondary consistently giving up big plays, Smith has a prime opportunity to capitalize. The model, recognizing this pronounced advantage, flags a strong edge on Smith's 'Over 67.4 Receiving Yards' at 1.83 (-120), backed by a significant 6.3% Expected Value. This indicates the market is undervaluing Smith's potential for a productive day, especially given the defensive liabilities he'll be facing and the offensive firepower surrounding him.
Ultimately, the most decisive factor in this NFC East clash will be Jalen Hurts' ability to exploit the Cowboys' defensive shortcomings. If Dallas cannot contain his dual-threat dynamism—particularly against their 22nd-ranked run defense and 29th-ranked pass defense—it will not only unravel their game plan but also open clear pathways for Eagles playmakers like DeVonta Smith to dominate. The Eagles' potent offense against the Cowboys' faltering defense is the battle that will likely determine the outcome of this pivotal divisional contest.
Eagles vs. Cowboys Pick
- Pick: Under 47.5 Total Points (-110) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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