Jets vs. Ravens Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NFL Odds for Week 12
The Baltimore Ravens will take on the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon in Week 12, hoping to win easily as two-score home favorites. Can Lamar Jackson and the Ravens cruise as they try to stay in the playoff race? Let's take a look at this Jets vs. Ravens prediction and best bet for NFL Week 12.
OC Staff - November 23, 2025, 12:15 PM EST
5 Minute ReadJets vs. Ravens Prediction: Can Lamar Jackson, Ravens Dominate Against Struggling Jets?
As the NFL season grinds through its challenging mid-stretch, the New York Jets, a struggling 2-8 squad fresh off a loss and languishing at 14th in their conference, venture onto the road to face a Baltimore Ravens team (5-5, 10th in conference) that has found a winning stride with four consecutive victories.
The Ravens, holding a modest 2-3 home record, will look to leverage their current momentum against a Jets team that has managed only one road win in four attempts. This contest will undoubtedly hinge on a few critical individual battles, where star power and strategic weaknesses will collide.
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Jets vs. Ravens Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: CBS
Jets vs. Ravens Odds
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Jets vs. Ravens Prediction
The centerpiece of this matchup undoubtedly revolves around the dynamic playmaking of Baltimore's quarterback, Lamar Jackson, and his ability to dismantle a Jets defense that, while not historically weak, shows cracks this season. Jackson, projected for 208.0 passing yards, enters this game with a remarkable track record against elite passing defenses, boasting a 131.5 Passer Rating and 220.8 passing yards per game across six contests against Top-10 units, along with an incredible 13:1 TD:INT ratio. Facing a Jets defense currently ranked 25th in QB Rating Allowed, Jackson appears poised for a significant aerial performance.
Furthermore, Jackson's dual-threat capability presents a unique challenge. He averages a robust 42.9 rushing yards per game, with a projection of 30.7 for this contest. This ground threat becomes especially potent against a Jets run defense ranked 21st in the league in Rush Yds/Carry, making it difficult for New York to commit solely to defending the pass. Compounding their woes, the Jets' pass rush ranks a lowly 27th in the league in sacks, likely affording Jackson ample time to survey the field or escape the pocket. Our model, recognizing this advantageous situation for Jackson, flags a noticeable advantage on his Over 208.0 Passing Yards prop at 1.91 (-110) odds, with a 4.5% EV, indicating strong confidence in his ability to exceed this mark.
On the other side of the ball, the Jets turn to Tyrod Taylor, whose performance will be crucial for any upset hopes. Taylor is projected for a modest 182.8 passing yards and 0.7 interceptions. While his historical splits against Top-10 Pass Defenses are limited (one game with 83 passing yards and a 131.0 rating), they offer little long-term insight. The Ravens' defense, while not an elite Top-10 unit, still ranks 12th in QB Rating Allowed, suggesting a capable secondary. However, a surprising vulnerability for Baltimore is their pass rush, which ranks 28th in sacks. This could provide Taylor with more time in the pocket than usual, potentially allowing him to connect with receivers. Despite this, Taylor's lower projection suggests that even with time, his overall production might be capped against a disciplined Ravens secondary. Our model identifies a slight edge on the Under 182.8 Passing Yards for Taylor at 1.91 (-110) odds, showing a modest 0.9% EV, implying he might struggle to reach even his conservative projection.
The ground game often dictates the pace and control of an NFL contest, and this game features a clash between the formidable Derrick Henry and a susceptible Jets run defense. Henry is projected for 79.3 rushing yards on 17.4 attempts. The Jets' run defense, ranked 21st in the league in Rush Yds/Carry, presents a seemingly favorable matchup for a runner of Henry's caliber. Given his historical dominance and the Jets' struggles against the run, one might expect Henry to have a big day.
However, our advanced analytics tell a fascinating story. Despite the favorable matchup against the 21st-ranked Jets run defense, our model sees a substantial gap to exploit on the Under 79.3 Rushing Yards for Henry at 1.91 (-110) odds, reflecting a strong 8.8% EV. This suggests that while the matchup appears good on paper, perhaps game script, strategic adjustments, or other underlying factors might limit Henry's output below his projection, offering a high-value opportunity for savvy bettors. In summary, this game appears poised to be decided by Lamar Jackson's multifaceted attack against a vulnerable Jets defense.
His ability to both throw and run, especially against a poor pass rush and mediocre run defense, will be the most decisive factor. While Derrick Henry faces a seemingly advantageous matchup, the model's strong projection for the 'Under' suggests that the Ravens' offensive strategy or game flow might not lean as heavily on Henry as one might initially assume.
Jets vs. Ravens Pick
- Pick: Under 44.5 Total Points (-110) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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