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Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Top Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Patriots vs. Seahawks on Wednesday, September 9th

New England travels to Seattle for a Wednesday night matchup with several intriguing touchdown markets across both offenses. The Seahawks bring multiple receiving threats into the rematch, while the Patriots have several plus-money red-zone options capable of outperforming their broader receiving volume. Check out these Patriots vs. Seahawks anytime touchdown scorer picks and best bets for Wednesday, September 9.

Will AJ Barner, Jaxon Smith-Njigba Find the End Zone in Super Bowl Rematch to Open NFL Season?

New England and Seattle meet Wednesday night at 8:20 PM ET with an anytime touchdown board that offers several different ways to attack the matchup. Seattle has the more obvious high-volume receiving threats, but some of the better prices come from tight ends whose roles can become significantly more valuable once the field compresses near the goal line.

The three-player card mixes one of Seattle's primary offensive weapons with two longer-priced tight ends. Jaxon Smith-Njigba brings the strongest combination of usage and recent scoring production, while A.J. Barner and Hunter Henry offer much larger payouts without necessarily needing heavy reception or yardage totals to get there.

Patriots vs. Seahawks Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
  • Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
  • How to Watch: NBC

Patriots vs. Seahawks Odds

  • Spread: New England Patriots +3, Seattle Seahawks -3
  • Total Points: Over 44.5, Under 44.5

Click here for the latest Patriots vs. Seahawks Odds

Patriots vs. Seahawks Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks

1. A.J. Barner Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+270) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Barner is the longest-priced Seattle option of the three, but the underlying numbers make +270 particularly interesting. His 33.13% AI touchdown probability sits well above the 27.03% implied probability attached to the price, creating 22.58% expected value and the strongest EV mark of the Seattle selections.

The recent scoring rate is more modest, with Barner finding the end zone in three of his last 10 games, but one of those touchdowns came in Seattle's February 8 meeting with New England. That matters more for this market than raw receiving volume because Barner does not need six or seven catches to justify the wager. A single schemed target off play action or a favorable matchup near the goal line can be enough.

Seattle also has enough perimeter receiving talent to prevent defenses from consistently loading attention toward the tight end. If New England prioritizes limiting Smith-Njigba and Seattle's more explosive options, Barner can benefit underneath and in condensed red-zone formations. At +270, that role is worth attacking.

2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

Smith-Njigba is the most straightforward scorer on the card because his path to opportunities is built around consistent offensive involvement rather than hoping for a small number of specialized snaps. He has scored in five of his last 10 games, and his 47.18% AI touchdown probability is considerably higher than the 41.67% implied probability of the +140 line.

That gap still produces 13.23% expected value even at the shortest price of the three. A 50% recent touchdown hit rate also lines up closely with the projection, giving Smith-Njigba a strong combination of current usage, scoring trend and price rather than relying on one isolated matchup angle.

His versatility is particularly useful for an anytime touchdown wager. Seattle can move him across the formation, manufacture touches and get him involved both before and after the catch, so the scoring opportunity does not have to come from a traditional fade or contested goal-line target. Among the three selections, Smith-Njigba has the clearest path to volume throughout the entire game.

3. Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+265) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook

Henry provides the Patriots side of the card at +265, a price that only requires an implied scoring probability of roughly 27%. That is appealing for a tight end whose fantasy and yardage production can fluctuate while his red-zone value remains much more stable.

The biggest reason to target Henry is how his role changes as New England gets closer to the end zone. Tight ends give quarterbacks a larger target over the middle and off play action, and Henry does not need to pile up receptions between the 20s if a couple of his opportunities come in high-leverage situations. That makes his touchdown price more attractive than evaluating him strictly through projected receiving yards.

Seattle's pass rush can also push New England toward quicker concepts rather than allowing longer routes to consistently develop. That type of game script can keep Henry involved as a safety valve and intermediate target, with his size becoming even more valuable inside the 10-yard line. At +265, one well-designed red-zone look is enough to make him a strong third option on the card.

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