3 Best Bets for Eagles vs. Bears on Monday Night Football
The Philadelphia Eagles visit the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football to close out Week 3 at Soldier Field. Can Kyle Monangai and Cole Kmet become reliable underneath options for Tyson Bagent as Chicago adjusts to Caleb Williams' injury? Check out these Eagles vs. Bears 3 best bets for Monday, September 28.
Peter Alexis - September 28, 2026, 11:30 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadEagles vs. Bears Best Bets: Targeting Kyle Monangai, Cole Kmet as Safe Targets for Tyson Bagent on Monday Night Football
Chicago's quarterback situation changes the shape of this matchup, with Williams sidelined and Bagent stepping in after recently dealing with a concussion. Bagent has also seen limited meaningful playing time in recent seasons, giving the Bears plenty of incentive to simplify the passing game early and help him settle into the offense.
That makes short, high-percentage throws particularly appealing for this card. Monangai and Kmet both carry receiving-yardage numbers that can be cleared with one or two completions, while the third pick fades Makai Lemon in a Philadelphia offense with several more established options competing for targets.
Eagles vs. Bears Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, September 28th, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Eagles vs. Bears Odds
- Spread: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-110), Chicago Bears +3.5 (-110)
- Total Points: Over 42.5, Under 42.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles -198, Chicago Bears +164
Click here for the latest Eagles vs. Bears Odds
Eagles vs. Bears Best Bets Breakdown
1. Kyle Monangai Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 78.18%
- Implied Probability: 53.19%
- EV: 46.98%
- Trend: Over in 7 of last 10
Monangai's 8.5-yard line fits particularly well with the quarterback change. Chicago does not need to turn him into a featured receiver for this to cash, as one productive checkdown or two short completions out of the backfield could be enough to put him over the number.
Bagent should benefit from having easy answers available against Philadelphia's pass rush, and running back targets are one of the simplest ways to get him comfortable. Rather than asking Bagent to immediately attack tight windows downfield, Chicago can lean on screens and underneath throws that allow Monangai to create yards after the catch. The model's 78.18% probability and massive 46.98% EV make this the strongest play of the three.
2. Cole Kmet Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 74.62%
- Implied Probability: 53.19%
- EV: 40.29%
- Trend: Over in 8 of last 10
Kmet provides another natural security blanket for a quarterback trying to settle into the game. He has cleared 8.5 receiving yards in eight of his last 10 appearances, and the threshold is low enough that one intermediate completion could nearly cash the prop by itself.
The Bears can use Kmet on quick routes, play action and throws over the middle rather than consistently asking Bagent to push the ball vertically. With Bagent coming off the concussion and entering with limited recent starting experience, getting the ball to a veteran tight end on manageable reads makes sense. The model gives Kmet a 74.62% probability of clearing the number, creating 40.29% positive EV.
3. Makai Lemon Under 29.5 Receiving Yards (-116) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Lemon's Under takes the opposite approach by fading one of Philadelphia's secondary receiving options. The Eagles have enough established playmakers that Lemon does not need a major target share for the offense to function, making 30 receiving yards a meaningful threshold if his opportunities remain limited.
The potential game script also favors the Under. If Philadelphia plays from ahead against a Chicago offense adjusting to Bagent, there may be little reason to create excessive passing volume or force targets toward complementary receivers. Lemon can contribute without reaching 30 yards, and a balanced Eagles offense gives this Under several paths to cash.
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