Top Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Bucs vs. Cowboys on Thursday Night Football
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football, with Dallas bringing one of the NFL’s highest-scoring offenses into a matchup against a winless Tampa Bay team starting a rookie quarterback. Can Dak Prescott and the Buccaneers’ supporting cast create enough high-value scoring opportunities in a game with plenty of intriguing touchdown prices? Check out these Buccaneers vs. Cowboys 4 anytime touchdown scorer picks for Thursday, October 8.
Peter Alexis - October 8, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
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Dallas enters Thursday averaging 30.5 points per game and coming off a 34-point comeback win in Houston, creating another favorable environment for touchdown props at AT&T Stadium. Tampa Bay has been much better defensively than its 0-4 record suggests, but the short week, Antoine Winfield Jr. being ruled out and the Cowboys’ ability to attack defenses at multiple levels leave several appealing scoring options.
The Tampa Bay side requires more creativity with Baker Mayfield out and rookie Jalon Daniels making his second start. Dallas has still allowed 28 points per game, however, so the Buccaneers should have opportunities of their own if they can protect Daniels and sustain drives. The card consequently mixes Dallas’ primary scoring threats with one 5-to-1 Tampa Bay sprinkle.
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- How to Watch: Prime Video
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Odds
- Spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-104), Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-110)
- Total Points: Over 48.5 (-107), Under 48.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +385, Dallas Cowboys -480
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Bucs vs. Cowboys Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
1. CeeDee Lamb Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-117) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Lamb has fully reclaimed alpha status in the Dallas passing game, leading the NFL with 37 receptions and 498 receiving yards through four games while already scoring four touchdowns. His Week 4 performance against Houston was enormous, with 17 catches for 189 yards and the game-winning touchdown on 21 targets.
That type of usage makes -117 much easier to accept. Lamb has scored in three of four games this season, and Tampa Bay will be without Winfield on the back end while also struggling to consistently generate pressure. If Dak Prescott has time, Lamb can win underneath, downfield or from the slot rather than relying on one specific red-zone matchup.
The projection backs up the role, giving Lamb a 64.88% touchdown probability compared to 54.05% implied at -117. That creates 20.03% EV. The broader 10-game trend shows four touchdowns, but his current-season usage is considerably more important, and Dallas has repeatedly shown that its biggest moments flow through Lamb.
2. George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Pickens is one of the strongest positive-regression candidates on Thursday's board. He has 18 catches for 225 yards through four games without a touchdown despite remaining an important part of an offense averaging more than 30 points per game.
The explosive opportunities are still there. Pickens caught only two passes against Houston last week but turned them into 75 yards, including a 53-yard gain, and he had seven receptions for 82 yards against Baltimore the week before. He does not need Lamb-level target volume to score because his size and ability to win vertically can turn one isolated matchup into six points.
Getting +125 on a receiver with Pickens' touchdown profile after four consecutive games without a score is worth attacking. Lamb's massive target share forces Tampa Bay to allocate significant coverage resources toward No. 88, potentially creating the one-on-one opportunities Pickens is built to exploit. Winfield's absence only increases the appeal of challenging Tampa Bay farther downfield.
3. Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Ferguson has quietly become one of Dallas' most dangerous red-zone weapons. He scored twice against Washington in Week 2 and again against Baltimore in Week 3, giving him three touchdowns over his last three games despite relatively modest overall receiving volume.
The matchup is particularly attractive for a tight end. Tampa Bay has already allowed meaningful production to the position, including touchdowns to Mike Gesicki and Green Bay's tight ends, while Ferguson led all NFL tight ends with 13 targets inside the 10-yard line last season. That type of established goal-line usage matters much more for this market than whether he finishes with 30 or 70 receiving yards.
The model gives Ferguson a 37.22% chance to score compared to 32.26% implied at +210, producing 15.38% EV. He has scored in three of his last 10 games, with all three coming recently, and the better-than-2-to-1 price is attractive for a player Prescott already trusts when the field compresses.
4. Kenneth Gainwell Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+500) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Gainwell is the true long-shot sprinkle, and this is not a bet built around expecting a large workload. He has only 13 carries and eight receptions through four games, but Tampa Bay has continued using him as part of the backfield rotation and he finally converted one of those opportunities into a receiving touchdown against Green Bay last week.
That receiving role is what makes +500 interesting with Daniels starting again. A rookie quarterback facing pressure is naturally more likely to lean on checkdowns, screens and quick throws to his backs, and Gainwell already showed last week that one of those touches can become a touchdown.
Dallas also remains vulnerable enough defensively to justify taking a swing. The Cowboys are allowing 28 points per game, and Gainwell does not need Tampa Bay to suddenly become an explosive offense. At 5-to-1, one red-zone package, screen or broken-play reception is enough, making him the appropriate high-variance option to round out a card otherwise centered on Dallas' much more predictable scoring roles.
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