Top Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Commanders vs. 49ers on Monday Night Football
The Washington Commanders visit the undefeated San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football, with San Francisco looking to extend its perfect start while Washington tries to rebound from a frustrating divisional tie. Can Jayden Daniels, George Kittle and other high-leverage offensive weapons capitalize in a matchup carrying plenty of scoring upside? Check out these Commanders vs. 49ers 4 anytime touchdown scorer picks for Monday, October 19.
Peter Alexis - October 19, 2026, 5:15 PM EDT
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San Francisco enters Monday night at 5-0 behind an offense averaging more than 30 points per game, while Washington has shown enough explosiveness to keep this from becoming a one-sided touchdown market. The Commanders scored 27 points last week, and Daniels' ability to create outside structure gives Washington a path to producing touchdowns even against one of the NFL's better defenses.
The personnel situation also creates some interesting prop angles. Washington will be without its leading rusher, while San Francisco is favored by more than a touchdown and could generate a positive second-half rushing script. The card attacks both sides with established red-zone threats and one longer-priced option whose workload could become especially valuable if the 49ers control the game.
Commanders vs. 49ers Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
- How to Watch: ESPN/ABC
Commanders vs. 49ers Odds
- Spread: Washington Commanders +7.5 (-110), San Francisco 49ers -7.5 (-102)
- Total Points: Over 51.5 (-109), Under 51.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Washington Commanders +340, San Francisco 49ers -375
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Commanders vs. 49ers Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
1. Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+245) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Diggs has gone three straight games without a touchdown after scoring three times across Washington's first two games, creating an appealing buy-low opportunity at +245. He remains one of the Commanders' most experienced receiving weapons, and his early-season scoring stretch already showed that Daniels is willing to look his way when Washington reaches high-leverage situations.
The positive-EV projection is much more aggressive than the market, giving Diggs a 35.55% chance to score against a 28.99% implied probability. That creates 22.65% EV, while his broader trend shows touchdowns in four of his last 10 games.
San Francisco's defense can make sustained passing drives difficult, but Washington may eventually be forced into an aggressive script if the 49ers build a lead. That creates additional passing volume for Daniels and more opportunities for Diggs to finally end his three-game scoring drought at a strong plus-money price.
2. Jayden Daniels Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230) Check out the best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook
Daniels immediately stands out after what he did against the Giants last week. He rushed for 103 yards and two touchdowns, scoring from 38 and 26 yards while showing that his touchdown upside extends well beyond traditional goal-line quarterback sneaks.
That rushing dimension becomes even more important with Washington's leading running back unavailable Monday night. The Commanders still have veteran options in the backfield, but Daniels can become the offense's most dangerous runner whenever a play breaks down or San Francisco loses contain.
His 33.47% projected scoring probability is slightly above the 30.3% implied mark at +230, producing 10.45% EV. Daniels has scored in three of his last 10 games, and after two rushing touchdowns last week, better than 2-to-1 remains attractive for a quarterback capable of finding the end zone from anywhere inside the red zone.
3. George Kittle Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Kittle may have the strongest matchup-specific case on the card. Washington has struggled badly against tight ends around the goal line, allowing seven touchdowns to the position already this season, and its aggressive blitz tendencies can create opportunities for Kittle to become Brock Purdy's immediate answer over the middle.
His own scoring form has been excellent. Kittle scored four touchdowns across Weeks 2 through 4, including a two-touchdown performance against Arizona, before being held out of the end zone against Seattle last week. He has now scored in five of his last 10 games overall.
The model puts Kittle's touchdown probability at 49.15%, slightly ahead of the 46.51% implied probability at +115. The 5.67% EV is smaller than the other model-backed selections, but the matchup is considerably stronger. Washington's issues covering the position, San Francisco's expected scoring volume and Kittle's recent red-zone production make plus money enough to attack.
4. Kaelon Black Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+400) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Black is the true long-shot piece of the card, but there is a legitimate workload case behind the 4-to-1 number. The rookie has already logged 37 carries for 136 yards through five games despite playing behind Christian McCaffrey, giving Kyle Shanahan another back he clearly trusts to handle meaningful rushing work.
The touchdown is the missing piece. Black has yet to score this season, but San Francisco has intentionally reduced some of McCaffrey's workload after last year's enormous touch total. That creates opportunities for Black to remain involved rather than functioning as a back who only appears once the outcome has been decided.
Game script is the major attraction at +400. San Francisco enters as a sizable home favorite, and a second-half lead could create extended rushing volume while allowing the 49ers to distribute touches rather than exhausting McCaffrey. Black does not need to overtake the starter to cash. One series ending near the goal line or a late scoring opportunity could be enough for his first NFL touchdown at a substantial price.
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